Ma Chenglin, Zhang Lin, Gao Xurui, Liu Changjiang
College of Civil Engineering and Transportation, Northeast Forestry University, Harbin, 150040, China.
Sci Rep. 2025 May 9;15(1):16207. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-00669-0.
With global ecological problems and uncertainties in the international economy, the resilience of the wood supply chain is becoming important for the sustainable development of the wood industry. Heilongjiang Province is a key region for wood production and consumption in China. However, it faces many internal and external challenges in its wood supply chain. This paper uses a system dynamics method to build a wood supply chain model for Heilongjiang Province with Anylogic. It includes resilience factors from infrastructure, economic, and ecological perspectives. The goal is to find the system's dynamics and how different factors influence and interact with each other. The results show that relying on overseas raw materials makes supply chain management more difficult. Logistics information platforms are essential for better coordination. The manufacturing sector does not respond well, so improving manufacturing efficiency is necessary to increase the system's efficiency. The sales sector is affected by changes in market demand. Balancing the consumption of domestic and international customer groups can help stabilize production and sales. This study explains the current situation of the wood supply chain in Heilongjiang Province. It provides a theoretical basis for regional wood supply chain management and offers useful insights for improving supply chain resilience in other similar regions.
随着全球生态问题和国际经济的不确定性，木材供应链的弹性对于木材行业的可持续发展变得至关重要。黑龙江省是中国木材生产和消费的关键地区。然而，其木材供应链面临诸多内部和外部挑战。本文运用系统动力学方法，借助Anylogic为黑龙江省构建木材供应链模型。该模型包含从基础设施、经济和生态角度的弹性因素。目标是找出系统的动态变化以及不同因素如何相互影响和相互作用。结果表明，依赖海外原材料会使供应链管理更加困难。物流信息平台对于更好地协调至关重要。制造业部门反应不佳，因此提高制造效率对于提高系统效率是必要的。销售部门受到市场需求变化的影响。平衡国内外客户群体的消费有助于稳定生产和销售。本研究阐释了黑龙江省木材供应链的现状。它为区域木材供应链管理提供了理论依据，并为提高其他类似地区的供应链弹性提供了有益的见解。
