Sayed Ahmed, Michos Erin D, Navar Ann Marie, Virani Salim S, Brewer LaPrincess C, Manson JoAnn E
Ain Shams University, Faculty of Medicine, Cairo, Egypt (A.S.).
Houston Methodist DeBakey Heart and Vascular Center, TX (A.S.).
Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes. 2025 Jul;18(7):e011648. doi: 10.1161/CIRCOUTCOMES.124.011648. Epub 2025 May 13.
Mortality due to ischemic heart disease (IHD) has declined in countries with high socioeconomic development. Whether these declines extend to other settings, and whether socioeconomic development influences IHD mortality among men and women differently, is unknown.
We obtained annual data on sex-specific IHD mortality rates for countries/territories in the GBD study (Global Burden of Disease) from 1980 to 2021. The sociodemographic index (SI), a measure of socioeconomic development, was retrieved for each country/territory. Age-adjusted IHD mortality rates were modeled as a smooth function of sex, year, and SI.
From 1980 to 2021, IHD mortality rates did not decrease in low SI settings for men or women. In contrast, mortality rates relative to 1980 declined by >25% in average SI settings (age-adjusted mortality per 100 000, 153-107 for women and 218-161 for men) and >50% in high SI settings (age-adjusted mortality per 100 000, 162-69 for women and 258-114 for men). Comparing the 20th versus 80th percentile of SI in 2021 (corresponding to lower versus higher socioeconomic development), mortality rates were 81% higher for men and 111% higher for women living in socioeconomically deprived settings ( for difference by sex: 0.01), although absolute differences were larger in men. The association of low SI with higher IHD mortality was especially pronounced for mortality attributable to environmental/occupational risk factors (eg, particulate matter air pollution, lead exposure, and extremes of temperature), with mortality rates being 174% higher among women and 199% higher among men.
Across the past 4 decades, low socioeconomic development was associated with no improvement in IHD mortality rates for men or women, in contrast to the large reductions observed in settings with high socioeconomic development. In contemporary settings, socioeconomic deprivation is associated with larger relative excess mortality in women and larger absolute excess mortality in men.
在社会经济发展水平较高的国家,缺血性心脏病(IHD)导致的死亡率有所下降。这些下降是否也适用于其他情况,以及社会经济发展对男性和女性IHD死亡率的影响是否不同,目前尚不清楚。
我们获取了1980年至2021年全球疾病负担(GBD)研究中各国/地区按性别划分的IHD死亡率年度数据。为每个国家/地区检索了社会人口指数(SDI),这是一种衡量社会经济发展的指标。年龄标准化的IHD死亡率被建模为性别、年份和SDI的平滑函数。
1980年至2021年期间,在社会人口指数较低的地区,男性和女性的IHD死亡率均未下降。相比之下,在社会人口指数中等的地区,相对于1980年,死亡率下降了25%以上(年龄标准化死亡率每10万人,女性从153降至107,男性从218降至161);在社会人口指数较高的地区,死亡率下降了50%以上(年龄标准化死亡率每10万人,女性从162降至69,男性从258降至114)。比较2021年社会人口指数第20百分位数与第80百分位数(分别对应社会经济发展水平较低和较高的情况),生活在社会经济贫困环境中的男性死亡率高出81%,女性高出111%(性别差异:P = 0.01),尽管男性的绝对差异更大。社会人口指数较低与较高的IHD死亡率之间的关联,在由环境/职业风险因素导致的死亡率方面尤为明显(例如,颗粒物空气污染、铅暴露和极端温度),女性死亡率高出174%,男性高出199%。
在过去40年中,与社会经济发展水平较高地区观察到的大幅下降形成对比,社会经济发展水平较低与男性和女性的IHD死亡率没有改善相关。在当代环境中,社会经济贫困与女性相对更高的超额死亡率以及男性绝对更高的超额死亡率相关。