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钩端螺旋体病合并急性肾损伤患者立即或延迟开始肾脏替代治疗:一项目标试验模拟研究

Immediate or delayed initiation of renal replacement therapy in patients with leptospirosis and acute kidney injury: a target trial emulation.

作者信息

Julien Marie, Rafat Cédric, Raffray Loïc, Vacher-Coponat Henri, Allou Nicolas, Allyn Jérôme, Jabot Julien, Lombardi Yannis

机构信息

Nephrology Unit, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Felix Guyon, Saint-Denis, La Réunion, France.

Renal Intensive Care Unit, Tenon Hospital, Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris, Paris, France.

出版信息

Ann Intensive Care. 2025 May 14;15(1):65. doi: 10.1186/s13613-025-01477-5.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Anecdotal evidence suggests that early renal replacement therapy (RRT) may improve the mortality associated with acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients with leptospirosis. Conversely, several randomized controlled trials (RCTs) conducted in intensive care units have refuted the positive impact of early RRT on mortality in patients with AKI and other causes of sepsis.

METHODS

In this emulated RCT utilizing a propensity score-weighted logistic regression performed in the two academic centers on the island of La Réunion, France, between 2010 and 2020, we evaluated the impact of the timing of RRT on a composite outcome of mortality or new-onset or worsening chronic kidney disease (CKD) within a year, in patients hospitalized with leptospirosis, Stage 3 AKI, and no immediate need for RRT.

RESULTS

We included 295 consecutive patients with leptospirosis and Stage 3 AKI: 82 (28%) began RRT within 48 h of admission ("early" group), 213 (72%) did not start RRT within 48 h ("delayed" group). In the delayed group, 53/213 (25%) patients eventually required RRT. 59/295 patients (20%) met the primary outcome: 32 (15%) in the delayed group and 27 (33%) in the early group. The odds ratio (OR) for primary outcome occurrence before weighing was 2.78 (95% confidence interval CI 1.53 to 5.01, p < 0.001; reference: delayed group) and after weighting was 2.08 (95% CI: 1.01 to 4.26, p = 0.046). In secondary analyses, there was a significantly higher probability of CKD occurrence in the early group (OR 2.74, 95% CI 1.25 to 6.0, p = 0.012). Mortality at 1 year did not differ between groups (OR 0.76, 95% CI 0.21 to 2.68, p = 0.666).

CONCLUSION

Early initiation of RRT may be associated with an increased risk of death and development of CKD within 1 year in patients with leptospirosis and Stage 3 AKI.

摘要

背景

轶事证据表明,早期肾脏替代治疗(RRT)可能会改善钩端螺旋体病患者急性肾损伤(AKI)相关的死亡率。相反,在重症监护病房进行的几项随机对照试验(RCT)驳斥了早期RRT对AKI及其他脓毒症病因患者死亡率的积极影响。

方法

在这项于2010年至2020年期间在法国留尼汪岛的两个学术中心进行的利用倾向评分加权逻辑回归的模拟RCT中,我们评估了RRT时机对住院的钩端螺旋体病、3期AKI且无需立即进行RRT的患者一年内死亡或新发或慢性肾脏病(CKD)恶化这一复合结局的影响。

结果

我们纳入了295例连续的钩端螺旋体病和3期AKI患者:82例(28%)在入院48小时内开始RRT(“早期”组),213例(72%)在48小时内未开始RRT(“延迟”组)。在延迟组中,53/213例(25%)患者最终需要RRT。59/295例患者(20%)达到主要结局:延迟组32例(15%),早期组27例(33%)。加权前主要结局发生的优势比(OR)为2.78(95%置信区间CI 1.53至5.01,p<0.001;参照:延迟组),加权后为2.08(95%CI:1.01至4.26,p=0.046)。在二次分析中,早期组发生CKD的概率显著更高(OR 2.74,95%CI 1.25至6.0,p=0.012)。两组间1年死亡率无差异(OR 0.76,95%CI 0.21至2.68,p=0.666)。

结论

对于钩端螺旋体病和3期AKI患者,早期开始RRT可能与1年内死亡风险增加及CKD发生有关。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a116/12078916/f42817aa5da7/13613_2025_1477_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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