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饮酒的终生成本是多少?泰国经济负担的估计。

What is the lifetime cost of alcohol consumption? an estimation of economic burden in Thailand.

作者信息

Luangsinsiri Chaisiri, Thavorncharoensap Montarat, Chaikledkaew Usa, Pattanaprateep Oraluck, Praditsitthikorn Naiyana, Sornpaisarn Bundit, Rehm Jürgen

机构信息

Doctor of Philosophy Program in Social, Economic, and Administrative Pharmacy, Department of Pharmacy, Faculty of Pharmacy, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.

Institute for Mental Health Policy Research, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, Toronto, Canada.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2025 May 16;20(5):e0322944. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0322944. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

This study aimed to estimate the lifetime cost of alcohol consumption per individual drinker in Thailand to support policy formulation. Using an incidence-based cost-of-illness (COI) approach, a hybrid model combining a decision tree and a Markov model, incorporating six major alcohol-related diseases and conditions (i.e., hypertension, hemorrhagic stroke, liver cirrhosis, liver cancer, alcohol use disorders, and road injuries), was employed to analyze both direct costs (i.e., direct medical, direct nonmedical, property damage) and indirect costs (i.e., absenteeism, premature mortality). All costs were reported in Thai baht 2022 (35.06 THB = 1US$). From a societal perspective, the lifetime costs for individual male and female drinker were estimated at 721,344 THB (95% CI: 687,910-754,779) and 263,812 THB (95% CI: 249,250-278,374), respectively. Quitting earlier reduced costs significantly, with average quitting ages resulting in the cost of 568,932 THB for males and 115,167 THB for females. On average, each Thai drinker incurs a cost of 498,196 THB. These findings highlight the substantial economic burden of alcohol consumption in Thailand, underscoring the critical need for effective interventions and policies, along with more rigorous enforcement of current regulations aimed at encouraging early cessation and preventing the initiation of drinking, such as through advertising bans, sales restrictions, improving access to counseling and treatment.

摘要

本研究旨在估算泰国每位饮酒者饮酒一生的成本,以支持政策制定。采用基于发病率的疾病成本(COI)方法,即结合决策树和马尔可夫模型的混合模型,纳入六种主要的酒精相关疾病和状况(即高血压、出血性中风、肝硬化、肝癌、酒精使用障碍和道路伤害),来分析直接成本(即直接医疗、直接非医疗、财产损失)和间接成本(即旷工、过早死亡)。所有成本均以2022年泰铢报告(35.06泰铢 = 1美元)。从社会角度来看,男性和女性饮酒者一生的成本估计分别为721,344泰铢(95%置信区间:687,910 - 754,779)和263,812泰铢(95%置信区间:249,250 - 278,374)。尽早戒酒可显著降低成本,平均戒酒年龄对应的男性成本为568,932泰铢,女性为115,167泰铢。平均而言,每位泰国饮酒者产生的成本为498,196泰铢。这些发现凸显了泰国酒精消费带来的巨大经济负担,强调了有效干预措施和政策的迫切需求,以及更严格执行现行法规的必要性,这些法规旨在鼓励尽早戒酒并防止开始饮酒,例如通过广告禁令、销售限制、改善咨询和治疗服务的可及性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bb67/12083796/2b94d132e588/pone.0322944.g001.jpg

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