Fieldhouse Jane K, Nakiire Lydia, Kayiwa Joshua, Mirzazadeh Ali, Brindis Claire D, Mitchell Ashley, Sepulveda Jaime, Makumbi Issa, Ario Alex Riolexus, Fair Elizabeth, Gallalee Sarah, Isabirye Herbert, Sekamatte Musa, Bird Brian H, Smith Woutrina, Desai Angel, Mazet Jonna A K, Lamorde Mohammed
One Health Institute, University of California, Davis, CA, USA.
Institute for Global Health Sciences, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Commun Med (Lond). 2025 May 22;5(1):192. doi: 10.1038/s43856-025-00893-9.
Timeliness metrics offer countries a framework by which to assess and optimize speed in outbreak detection and response times. This study analyses the One Health timeliness metrics for multisectoral public health emergencies in Uganda to identify and explore factors influencing outbreak performance.
We compiled a database of outbreak events in Uganda occurring between 2018-2022 and involving the human, animal, plant, and environmental sectors. Outbreak milestone dates were extracted from reports to calculate timeliness metrics, which were analyzed using proportional hazards regression models. Concurrently, we conducted Key Informant Interviews to explore factors affecting detection and response timeliness.
Integrated analyses of timeliness metrics from 81 outbreaks and expert interviews reveal that the greatest predictors of improved timeliness are frequent past experience with similar disease outbreaks and whether an outbreak is a viral hemorrhagic fever due to heightened perceived threat and pre-existing preparedness measures. Other factors, including diagnostic and laboratory considerations and contextual influences, such as One Health collaborations, are also described as relevant to timeliness.
To complement positive timeliness trends in Uganda, disease-agnostic investments in outbreak preparedness and response efforts will facilitate the ability of health systems to rapidly detect and respond to all outbreaks, irrespective of the pathogen.
及时性指标为各国提供了一个框架,用以评估和优化疫情检测及应对时间的速度。本研究分析了乌干达多部门公共卫生紧急事件的“同一健康”及时性指标,以确定并探究影响疫情应对表现的因素。
我们编制了一个乌干达2018年至2022年间发生的、涉及人类、动物、植物和环境部门的疫情事件数据库。从报告中提取疫情关键时间节点日期,以计算及时性指标,并使用比例风险回归模型进行分析。同时,我们进行了关键信息人访谈,以探究影响检测和应对及时性的因素。
对81起疫情的及时性指标进行综合分析以及专家访谈表明,及时性提高的最大预测因素是过去频繁经历过类似疾病疫情,以及疫情是否为病毒性出血热,因为人们感知到的威胁更大且已有应对措施。其他因素,包括诊断和实验室方面的考虑,以及诸如“同一健康”合作等背景影响,也被认为与及时性相关。
为补充乌干达积极的及时性趋势,对疫情防范和应对工作进行与疾病无关的投资,将有助于卫生系统快速检测和应对所有疫情,无论病原体为何。