Mahl Daniela, Schäfer Mike S, Voinea Stefan Adrian, Adib Keyrellous, Duncan Ben, Salvi Cristiana, Novillo-Ortiz David
Department of Communication and Media Research, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
Department of Communication and Media Research, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
BMJ Glob Health. 2025 May 23;10(5):e018545. doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2024-018545.
Artificial intelligence (AI) holds the potential to fundamentally transform how public health authorities use risk communication, community engagement and infodemic management (RCCE-IM) to prepare for, manage and mitigate public health emergencies. As research on this crucial transformation remains limited, we conducted a modified Delphi study on the impact of AI on RCCE-IM.
In two successive surveys, 54 experts-scholars with expertise in public health, digital health, health communication, risk communication and AI, as well as RCCE-IM professionals-from 27 countries assessed opportunities, challenges and risks of AI, anticipated future scenarios, and identified principles and actions to facilitate the responsible use of AI. The first Delphi round followed an open, exploratory approach, while the second sought to prioritise and rank key findings from the initial phase. Qualitative thematic analysis and statistical methods were applied to evaluate responses.
According to the expert panel, AI could be highly beneficial, particularly for risk communication (eg, tailoring messages) and infodemic management (eg, social listening), while its utility for fostering community engagement was viewed more critically. Challenges and risks affect all three components of RCCE-IM equally, with algorithmic bias and privacy breaches being of particular concern. Panellists anticipated both optimistic (eg, democratisation of information) and pessimistic (eg, erosion of public trust) future scenarios. They identified seven principles for the responsible use of AI for public health practices, with equity and transparency being the most important. Prioritised actions ranged from regulatory measures, resource allocation and feedback loops to capacity building, public trust initiatives and educational training.
To responsibly navigate the multifaceted opportunities, challenges and risks of AI for RCCE-IM in public health emergencies, clear guiding principles, ongoing critical evaluation and training as well as societal collaboration across countries are needed.
人工智能有潜力从根本上改变公共卫生当局利用风险沟通、社区参与和信息疫情管理(RCCE-IM)来预防、管理和减轻突发公共卫生事件的方式。由于关于这一关键转变的研究仍然有限,我们针对人工智能对RCCE-IM的影响开展了一项改良的德尔菲研究。
在两轮连续调查中,来自27个国家的54位专家——包括公共卫生、数字健康、健康沟通、风险沟通和人工智能领域的学者,以及RCCE-IM专业人员——评估了人工智能的机遇、挑战和风险,预测了未来情景,并确定了促进人工智能负责任使用的原则和行动。第一轮德尔菲调查采用开放、探索性的方法,而第二轮则旨在对初始阶段的关键发现进行优先排序和排名。应用定性主题分析和统计方法来评估回复。
根据专家小组的意见,人工智能可能非常有益,特别是在风险沟通(如定制信息)和信息疫情管理(如社会倾听)方面,而其在促进社区参与方面的效用则受到更多质疑。挑战和风险对RCCE-IM的所有三个组成部分影响相同,算法偏差和隐私泄露尤其令人担忧。小组成员预测了乐观(如信息民主化)和悲观(如公众信任的侵蚀)两种未来情景。他们确定了在公共卫生实践中负责任使用人工智能的七条原则,公平和透明是最重要的。优先采取的行动包括监管措施(如资源分配和反馈循环)、能力建设、公众信任倡议和教育培训。
为了在突发公共卫生事件中负责任地应对人工智能给RCCE-IM带来的多方面机遇、挑战和风险,需要明确的指导原则、持续的严格评估和培训,以及各国之间的社会合作。