Knox E G, Cummins C
J Epidemiol Community Health. 1985 Sep;39(3):237-43. doi: 10.1136/jech.39.3.237.
A recent rise in the incidence of cancer of the testis in affluent countries and affluent social strata suggests either an iatrogenic effect analogous with adenocarcinoma of the vagina or a prenatal infection analogous with congenital rubella syndrome. Three samples were assembled, two based on registration and one on death certification, and dates of birth were examined for the presence of steps, cycles, and irregular clusters. There was no evidence of a sudden step, and only equivocal evidence of clustering, but there was strong evidence of a temporal cycle. The cycle has a four-month period, analogous with a school-term-related cyclical component identified in other diseases. A prenatal infection is strongly suggested, but the pattern enables us to exclude many of the common childhood infectious fevers.
富裕国家和富裕社会阶层中睾丸癌发病率最近有所上升,这表明要么存在与阴道腺癌类似的医源性效应,要么存在与先天性风疹综合征类似的产前感染。我们收集了三个样本,两个基于登记数据,一个基于死亡证明,并检查了出生日期以寻找阶梯、周期和不规则聚集的情况。没有证据表明存在突然的阶梯现象,只有不明确的聚集证据,但有强有力的证据表明存在时间周期。这个周期为四个月,与在其他疾病中发现的与学期相关的周期性成分类似。这强烈暗示存在产前感染,但这种模式使我们能够排除许多常见的儿童感染性发热疾病。