Khan Sunawar, Mazhar Tehseen, Shahzad Tariq, Ali Tariq, Ayaz Muhammad, Ghadi Yazeed Yasin, Aggoune El-Hadi M, Hamam Habib
School of Computer Science, National College of Business Administration and Economics, Lahore, 54000, Pakistan.
Department of Computer Science, School Education Department, Government of Punjab, Layyah 31200, Pakistan.
Sci Rep. 2025 Jun 3;15(1):19349. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-04301-z.
This study uses Quantum Particle Swarm Optimization (QPSO) optimized Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN), standard RNN, and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models to anticipate educational building power demand accurately. Energy efficiency, cost reduction, and resource allocation depend on accurate load forecasts. The study evaluates model performance using year-long load data from seasonal, daily, and hourly fluctuations. Performance indicators, including Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Squared Error (MSE), and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), were used to assess the models. The QPSO-optimized RNN outperformed traditional RNN and ARIMA models with the lowest MAE of 15.2, MSE of 520.15, and RMSE of 22.8. Comparative investigation shows the QPSO-RNN's capacity to capture complicated load data patterns, especially during peak demand. This study shows that hybrid optimization can improve forecasting accuracy, making it a powerful tool for energy management in dynamic contexts.
本研究使用量子粒子群优化(QPSO)优化的递归神经网络(RNN)、标准RNN和自回归积分移动平均(ARIMA)模型来准确预测教育建筑的电力需求。能源效率、成本降低和资源分配取决于准确的负荷预测。该研究使用来自季节性、每日和每小时波动的全年负荷数据评估模型性能。包括平均绝对误差(MAE)、均方误差(MSE)和均方根误差(RMSE)在内的性能指标被用于评估模型。QPSO优化的RNN表现优于传统RNN和ARIMA模型,其MAE最低为15.2,MSE为520.15,RMSE为22.8。对比研究表明QPSO-RNN能够捕捉复杂的负荷数据模式,尤其是在需求高峰期间。本研究表明,混合优化可以提高预测准确性,使其成为动态环境下能源管理的有力工具。