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新冠疫情期间经济主体的行为:理论概述与前瞻性方法

Economic Agents' Behaviors During the Coronavirus Pandemic: Theoretical Overview and Prospective Approach.

作者信息

Jemli Rim, Chtourou Nouri

机构信息

Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods, Graduate School of Commerce, University of Sfax, Route de l'Aéroport Km 4.5, Box n° 1081, 3018 Sfax, Tunisia.

Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Sfax, Route de l'Aéroport Km 4, Box n° 1088, 3018 Sfax, Tunisia.

出版信息

J Knowl Econ. 2022 Apr 7:1-29. doi: 10.1007/s13132-022-01027-5.

DOI:10.1007/s13132-022-01027-5
PMID:40479260
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8989113/
Abstract

In economics, several theories have focused on the study of decisions made by economic agents. Recent branches in economics have even revealed some controversies with the theoretical findings of the basic neoclassical model. Indeed, the growing uncertainty characterizing certain contemporary risks leads to various biases in the economic agents' behaviors. The relevance of decisions under uncertainty calls into question the assumption of absolute rationality of the neoclassical economics. In this context, the COVID-19 pandemic is causing an unprecedented human crisis. This paper aims to provide a theoretical examination of the behaviors of economic agents faced with uncertainty and catastrophic situations. In its first contribution, this study provides a theoretical overview of behaviors under uncertainty. In its second contribution, the paper highlights the need for a prospective approach in the face of the coronavirus pandemic. Hence, we delve into the theoretical foundations of a prospective approach to health. All around the world, the COVID-19 pandemic approved the need for rethinking the preparation of "public health" systems to deal with pandemics. A good response to the present and a better preparation for the future require a revision of behaviors in terms of international cooperation and monitoring of Sustainable Development Goals.

摘要

在经济学中,有几种理论专注于对经济主体所做决策的研究。经济学的最新分支甚至揭示了与基本新古典模型的理论发现存在的一些争议。的确,某些当代风险所具有的日益增加的不确定性导致了经济主体行为中的各种偏差。不确定性条件下决策的相关性对新古典经济学的绝对理性假设提出了质疑。在这种背景下,新冠疫情正在引发一场前所未有的人类危机。本文旨在对面临不确定性和灾难性情况的经济主体行为进行理论审视。在其第一个贡献中,本研究提供了不确定性条件下行为的理论概述。在其第二个贡献中,本文强调了面对新冠疫情需要一种前瞻性方法。因此,我们深入探讨健康前瞻性方法的理论基础。在世界各地,新冠疫情证实了重新思考“公共卫生”系统应对疫情的准备工作的必要性。对当前做出良好应对并为未来做好更好准备需要在国际合作和可持续发展目标监测方面对行为进行修正。

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本文引用的文献

1
The role of economic structural factors in determining pandemic mortality rates: Evidence from the COVID-19 outbreak in France.经济结构因素在决定大流行死亡率中的作用:来自法国新冠疫情爆发的证据。
Res Int Bus Finance. 2020 Dec;54:101281. doi: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2020.101281. Epub 2020 Jun 23.
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Characterizing two outbreak waves of COVID-19 in Spain using phenomenological epidemic modelling.运用现象学传染病模型刻画西班牙的两波 COVID-19 疫情。
PLoS One. 2021 Jun 24;16(6):e0253004. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0253004. eCollection 2021.
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COVID-19 outbreak, social response, and early economic effects: a global VAR analysis of cross-country interdependencies.新冠疫情、社会应对措施及早期经济影响:跨国相互依存关系的全球向量自回归分析
J Popul Econ. 2021;34(1):223-252. doi: 10.1007/s00148-020-00792-4. Epub 2020 Aug 19.
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Health security capacities in the context of COVID-19 outbreak: an analysis of International Health Regulations annual report data from 182 countries.新冠疫情背景下的卫生安全能力:对 182 个国家《国际卫生条例》年度报告数据的分析。
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