Dobash Dawson S, Kakara Ramakrishna S
Division of Injury Prevention, National Center for Injury Prevention and Control, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, United States; Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Education (ORISE), United States.
Division of Injury Prevention, National Center for Injury Prevention and Control, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, United States.
J Safety Res. 2025 Jul;93:177-184. doi: 10.1016/j.jsr.2025.02.019. Epub 2025 Feb 24.
Older adult (≥65 years) falls are common and may result in severe injuries. There is limited knowledge about what proportion of older adults who fall sustain injuries that need medical attention. Screening is the first step in helping older adults reduce their risk of falls. However, there is limited research on how well current fall screeners can predict fall injuries.
Previously collected data from community-dwelling older adults enrolled in a 13-month long study, from the AmeriSpeak Panel, were analyzed. Baseline survey included questions related to demographics, falls risk factors, and falls risk screeners (CDC's 3 Key Questions (3KQ) and Stay Independent). Weighted percentages and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of older adults reporting one or more falls, fall-related injuries, falls needing any medical attention, falls resulting in doctor visits, and falls resulting in Emergency Department (ED) visits and/or hospitalization by demographics and fall risk factors were calculated. Risk ratios, sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values were calculated to compare the two screeners' ability to predict fall injury outcomes.
Among older adults who fell, 24.8% had an injury resulting in any medical attention, 14.5% sought treatment at a doctor's office, and 14.3% sought treatment at an ED/hospital. Sensitivity estimates for baseline 3KQ and Stay Independent screeners for falls resulting in an ED/hospital visit were 87.3% and 75.0%, respectively. Specificity estimates were 47.4% and 63.6%.
At least one in four older adults who fell needed medical attention. The 3KQ or Stay Independent screeners identified a large proportion of older adults who sought treatment at an ED/hospital for falls. However, using them may result in a large number of false positives.
Clinicians may use these screeners to identify older adults at high fall injury risk, assess them for specific risk factors, and intervene accordingly.
老年人(≥65岁)跌倒很常见,可能导致严重损伤。对于跌倒的老年人中因受伤而需要医疗护理的比例,人们了解有限。筛查是帮助老年人降低跌倒风险的第一步。然而,关于当前的跌倒筛查工具预测跌倒损伤的效果如何,相关研究有限。
分析了之前从参与一项为期13个月研究的美国民意调查小组社区居家老年人中收集的数据。基线调查包括与人口统计学、跌倒风险因素以及跌倒风险筛查工具(美国疾病控制与预防中心的3个关键问题(3KQ)和“保持独立”)相关的问题。计算了按人口统计学和跌倒风险因素划分的报告有一次或多次跌倒、与跌倒相关损伤、需要任何医疗护理的跌倒、导致看医生的跌倒以及导致急诊就诊和/或住院的跌倒的老年人的加权百分比和95%置信区间(CI)。计算风险比率、敏感度、特异度以及阳性和阴性预测值,以比较这两种筛查工具预测跌倒损伤结果的能力。
在跌倒的老年人中,24.8%因受伤而需要任何医疗护理,14.5%去看了医生,14.3%去急诊室/医院就诊。基线3KQ和“保持独立”筛查工具对导致急诊室/医院就诊的跌倒的敏感度估计分别为87.3%和75.0%。特异度估计分别为47.4%和63.6%。
至少四分之一跌倒的老年人需要医疗护理。3KQ或“保持独立”筛查工具识别出了很大一部分因跌倒而去急诊室/医院就诊的老年人。然而,使用它们可能会导致大量假阳性结果。
临床医生可以使用这些筛查工具来识别跌倒损伤风险高的老年人,评估他们的具体风险因素,并据此进行干预。