年龄校正休克指数:预测创伤性损伤患者的大量输血和死亡率
The Age-Modified Shock Index: Predicting Massive Transfusion and Mortality in Traumatic Injury Patients.
作者信息
Choi Soo Bin, Cho Suck Ju, Yeom Seok-Ran, Park Sung-Wook, Cho Young Mo, Huh Up, Kim Yeaeun, Ryu Dongman, Song Chanhee, Tae Won Ung, Wang Il Jae
机构信息
Department of Emergency Medicine, Pusan National University School of Medicine and Biomedical Research Institute, Pusan National University Hospital, Busan, Republic of Korea.
Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Pusan National University School of Medicine and Biomedical Research Institute, Pusan National University Hospital, Busan, Republic of Korea.
出版信息
Emerg Med Int. 2025 Jun 4;2025:8754824. doi: 10.1155/emmi/8754824. eCollection 2025.
Previous studies have demonstrated that the shock index (SI), age-adjusted shock index (ASI), and modified shock index (MSI) are useful for predicting massive transfusion (MT) and mortality in patients with traumatic injuries. However, studies have not been conducted on the use of the age-modified shock index (AMSI) to indicate the prognosis of patients with traumatic injuries. This study aimed to evaluate the predictive power of AMSI for MT and mortality. We hypothesized that AMSI would be superior to other indices in predicting outcomes in patients with traumatic injuries. This retrospective, single-center study was conducted at a level 1 trauma center and included consecutive patients who visited the trauma center between January 2016 and December 2022. The predictive value of AMSI for MT, in-hospital mortality, and 24 h mortality was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. We compared the area under the ROC curve (AUROC) of AMSI with those of SI, ASI, and MSI. In total, 6591 patients were included in the study, of whom 479 received MT. The in-hospital and 24 h mortality rates were 8.7% and 5.3%, respectively. The SI, ASI, MSI, and AMSI all showed better predictive performance for MT (AUC > 0.7) than that for in-hospital (AUC: 0.50, 0.61, 0.50, and 0.62) and 24 h mortality (AUC: 0.54, 0.56, 0.54, and 0.56). However, AMSI did not demonstrate superior performance compared with the other indices (SI, ASI, and MSI) in predicting both MT and 24 h mortality. AMSI demonstrated significantly better predictive performance for in-hospital mortality than the other indices; however, the difference from ASI was not substantial. This is likely because age has a significant impact on in-hospital mortality. Indices other than AMSI that are easier to compute may be more useful for the prognostic evaluation of patients with traumatic injuries.
既往研究表明,休克指数(SI)、年龄校正休克指数(ASI)和改良休克指数(MSI)可用于预测创伤患者的大量输血(MT)和死亡率。然而,尚未有关于使用年龄修正休克指数(AMSI)来评估创伤患者预后的研究。本研究旨在评估AMSI对MT和死亡率的预测能力。我们假设AMSI在预测创伤患者的预后方面优于其他指标。这项回顾性单中心研究在一家一级创伤中心进行,纳入了2016年1月至2022年12月期间连续就诊于该创伤中心的患者。采用受试者操作特征(ROC)分析评估AMSI对MT、院内死亡率和24小时死亡率的预测价值。我们比较了AMSI的ROC曲线下面积(AUROC)与SI、ASI和MSI的AUROC。本研究共纳入6591例患者,其中479例接受了MT。院内死亡率和24小时死亡率分别为8.7%和5.3%。SI、ASI、MSI和AMSI对MT的预测性能(AUC>0.7)均优于对院内死亡率(AUC:0.50、0.61、0.50和0.62)和24小时死亡率(AUC:0.54、0.56、0.54和0.56)的预测性能。然而,在预测MT和24小时死亡率方面,AMSI与其他指标(SI、ASI和MSI)相比并未表现出更优的性能。在预测院内死亡率方面,AMSI的预测性能明显优于其他指标;然而,与ASI的差异并不显著。这可能是因为年龄对院内死亡率有显著影响。对于创伤患者的预后评估,除AMSI外,其他更易于计算的指标可能更有用。