Healy Brian C, Edlow Brian L, Bodien Yelena G
Ann Romney Center for Neurologic Diseases, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Department of Neurology, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Neurotrauma Rep. 2025 May 27;6(1):435-441. doi: 10.1089/neur.2025.0010. eCollection 2025.
Studies that aim to evaluate outcomes after severe traumatic brain injury (TBI) must account for patients who die after withdrawal of life-sustaining treatment (WLST). If we are willing to assume that some of the patients who die of WLST might have had a good outcome at 6 months, the choice of analytic approach may impact the results. In this study, 6-month clinical outcomes for patients with TBI were simulated under six different scenarios related to WLST. Each scenario represents different assumptions related to the decision to choose WLST and how that decision relates to the 6-month clinical outcome. For each simulated dataset and scenario, three analytic approaches were used to estimate the probability of a good outcome at 6 months: complete case analysis, worst-case imputation, and inverse probability weighted analysis. The bias of the estimate from each of the approaches was used to compare the performance of the analysis approaches. When the probability of WLST was equal for all patients (i.e., covariates were not factored into the WLST decision), both the complete case analysis and the inverse probability weighted analysis were unbiased. When only patients who would have a poor outcome at 6 months were eligible to have WLST, only the worst-case imputation analysis was unbiased. When the probability of WLST was a function of observed patient characteristics that were also related to 6-month outcome (e.g., age, injury severity), only the inverse probability weighted analysis was unbiased. Finally, when the probability of missingness was related to an unobserved patient characteristic, none of the approaches were unbiased. If some patients who die of WLST might have had a good outcome, inverse probability weighting could be considered to decrease bias associated with censoring or imputing poor outcomes for participants with WLST.
旨在评估重度创伤性脑损伤(TBI)后预后的研究必须考虑在撤除维持生命治疗(WLST)后死亡的患者。如果我们愿意假设一些因WLST死亡的患者在6个月时可能有良好的预后,那么分析方法的选择可能会影响结果。在本研究中,在与WLST相关的六种不同情况下模拟了TBI患者的6个月临床预后。每种情况代表了与选择WLST的决定以及该决定与6个月临床预后的关系相关的不同假设。对于每个模拟数据集和情况,使用三种分析方法来估计6个月时良好预后的概率:完整病例分析、最坏情况插补和逆概率加权分析。每种方法估计的偏差用于比较分析方法的性能。当所有患者接受WLST的概率相等时(即协变量未纳入WLST决策),完整病例分析和逆概率加权分析均无偏差。当只有那些在6个月时预后不良的患者才有资格接受WLST时,只有最坏情况插补分析无偏差。当WLST的概率是与6个月预后相关的观察到的患者特征(如年龄、损伤严重程度)的函数时,只有逆概率加权分析无偏差。最后,当缺失概率与未观察到的患者特征相关时,所有方法均有偏差。如果一些因WLST死亡的患者可能有良好的预后,可以考虑使用逆概率加权来减少与审查或为接受WLST的参与者插补不良预后相关的偏差。