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血清铁蛋白水平作为预测儿童严重脓毒症预后的标志物及其与儿科序贯器官衰竭评估评分的相关性

Serum Ferritin Levels as a Prognostic Marker for Predicting Outcomes in Children With Severe Sepsis and Their Correlation With Pediatric Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score.

作者信息

Lal Mansi, Goel Manjusha, Shrivastava Neha, Pal Pankaj K, Datta Monali

机构信息

Pediatrics, Gandhi Medical College, Bhopal, IND.

出版信息

Cureus. 2025 May 19;17(5):e84436. doi: 10.7759/cureus.84436. eCollection 2025 May.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Severe sepsis is associated with increased mortality in the pediatric population. Potential biomarkers, such as serum ferritin, may be helpful in the timely prognostication of severe sepsis. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic ability of serum ferritin levels in children with severe sepsis. Additionally, the study also aimed to find the correlation between serum ferritin levels and the Pediatric Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (pSOFA) score in children with severe sepsis.

METHODOLOGY

This study was conducted as an observational cross-sectional study on children admitted with severe sepsis to the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) of a tertiary care center in Bhopal, India, over a period of 12 months. A total of 82 children aged between 1 month and 12 years who presented with severe sepsis were enrolled. Sepsis and severe sepsis were defined according to the 2005 International Pediatric Sepsis Definition Consensus criteria. The sociodemographic and clinical details of the study population were documented. Serum ferritin levels were measured within 24 hours of admission, and the pSOFA score was assessed twice, at 24 hours and 48 hours after admission, and the mean value was calculated. The final outcome was recorded in terms of survival and non-survival, and the results were compared between these two groups. Statistical analysis involved Pearson's correlation, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

The mean serum ferritin levels (849.55 ± 300.05 ng/mL vs. 398.45 ± 97.53 ng/mL) and pSOFA scores (13.50 ± 0.53 vs. 7.33 ± 2.31) were found to be significantly higher among non-survivors compared to survivors (p < 0.05). ROC curve analysis revealed good predictive ability of serum ferritin levels for mortality in children with severe sepsis. At a cut-off of >504 ng/mL, serum ferritin showed an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.992, with sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 84.3%. A significant correlation was found between serum ferritin levels and pSOFA score (r = 0.70 to 0.90; p < 0.05). At a cut-off of 12, the pSOFA score showed significant predictive ability for hyperferritinemia (>504 ng/mL), with an AUC of 0.901, sensitivity of 79.5%, and specificity of 100%. Logistic regression analysis documented serum ferritin levels and pSOFA score as independent markers of mortality. The risk of mortality was 8.3 times higher in patients with a mean pSOFA score >12. With respect to serum ferritin level, hyperferritinemia (>504 ng/mL) was associated with a 1.843 times higher risk of mortality.

CONCLUSION

High serum ferritin levels (>504 ng/mL) and pSOFA score >12 are both excellent and independent predictors of mortality in children with severe sepsis. A pSOFA score >12 has significant correlation with hyperferritinemia (serum ferritin >504 ng/mL). Incorporating these measurements in the care of children with severe sepsis may enhance risk stratification and support early intervention.

摘要

背景

严重脓毒症与儿科患者死亡率增加相关。潜在生物标志物,如血清铁蛋白,可能有助于严重脓毒症的及时预后评估。本研究旨在评估血清铁蛋白水平对儿童严重脓毒症的预后能力。此外,该研究还旨在找出儿童严重脓毒症患者血清铁蛋白水平与儿科序贯器官衰竭评估(pSOFA)评分之间的相关性。

方法

本研究为一项观察性横断面研究,对印度博帕尔一家三级医疗中心儿科重症监护病房(PICU)收治的严重脓毒症患儿进行了为期12个月的研究。共纳入82例年龄在1个月至12岁之间的严重脓毒症患儿。脓毒症和严重脓毒症根据2005年国际儿科脓毒症定义共识标准进行定义。记录了研究人群的社会人口统计学和临床细节。入院后24小时内测量血清铁蛋白水平,并在入院后24小时和48小时评估pSOFA评分两次,并计算平均值。最终结局根据生存和非生存情况记录,并在两组之间比较结果。统计分析包括Pearson相关性分析、受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析和逻辑回归分析。

结果

与幸存者相比,非幸存者的平均血清铁蛋白水平(849.55±300.05 ng/mL对398.45±97.53 ng/mL)和pSOFA评分(13.50±0.53对7.33±2.31)显著更高(p<0.05)。ROC曲线分析显示血清铁蛋白水平对儿童严重脓毒症死亡率具有良好的预测能力。在>504 ng/mL的临界值时,血清铁蛋白的曲线下面积(AUC)为0.992,敏感性为100%,特异性为84.3%。发现血清铁蛋白水平与pSOFA评分之间存在显著相关性(r=0.70至0.90;p<0.05)。在临界值为12时,pSOFA评分对高铁蛋白血症(>504 ng/mL)具有显著预测能力,AUC为0.901,敏感性为79.5%,特异性为100%。逻辑回归分析将血清铁蛋白水平和pSOFA评分记录为死亡率的独立标志物。平均pSOFA评分>12的患者死亡风险高8.3倍。就血清铁蛋白水平而言,高铁蛋白血症(>504 ng/mL)与死亡风险高1.843倍相关。

结论

高血清铁蛋白水平(>504 ng/mL)和pSOFA评分>12均是儿童严重脓毒症死亡率的优秀且独立预测指标。pSOFA评分>12与高铁蛋白血症(血清铁蛋白>504 ng/mL)显著相关。将这些测量纳入严重脓毒症患儿的护理中可能会加强风险分层并支持早期干预。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c095/12177213/a41483e3bb8b/cureus-0017-00000084436-i01.jpg

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