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以信仰之名的暴力:地缘政治风险如何在不同国家助长宗教极端主义。

Violence in the Name of Faith: How Geopolitical Risk Fuels Religious Extremism Across Diverse Nations.

作者信息

Cao Lansheng, Liu Yuanyuan, Ali Sajid, Nazar Raima

机构信息

College of Marxism, Zhongkai University of Agriculture and Engineering, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.

College of Marxism, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.

出版信息

J Relig Health. 2025 Aug;64(4):2712-2742. doi: 10.1007/s10943-025-02361-z. Epub 2025 Jun 23.

Abstract

Geopolitical risk has become a major driver of instability, intensifying tensions that often escalate into religious violence worldwide. The complex relationship between geopolitical disruptions and the escalation of religious conflicts demands urgent attention to better understand its broader implications for global peace and security. This investigation examines the asymmetric impact of geopolitical risk on religious violence across ten selected countries: USA, Nigeria, India, Indonesia, Egypt, Myanmar, Sri Lanka, Israel, France, and Brazil. Unlike earlier studies, which mainly employed panel data tools and often neglected the unique economic environments of individual nations, the present work utilizes the advanced quantile-on-quantile tool. This approach allows for the independent assessment of variable changes within each nation, improving precision and offering a more profound comprehension of each country's unique attributes. The findings highlight a strong and significant positive relationship between geopolitical risk and religious violence in most of the selected nations, with each country exhibiting unique patterns and responses to these dynamics. The results highlight the critical role of policymakers in applying rigorous estimations and forming customized policies to navigate the complex interplay between geopolitical risk and religious violence, ensuring more effective and context-specific solutions.

摘要

地缘政治风险已成为不稳定的主要驱动因素,加剧了紧张局势,这些紧张局势往往在全球范围内升级为宗教暴力。地缘政治动荡与宗教冲突升级之间的复杂关系需要紧急关注,以便更好地理解其对全球和平与安全的更广泛影响。本调查研究了地缘政治风险对十个选定国家宗教暴力的不对称影响,这些国家包括:美国、尼日利亚、印度、印度尼西亚、埃及、缅甸、斯里兰卡、以色列、法国和巴西。与早期主要使用面板数据工具且往往忽视个别国家独特经济环境的研究不同,本研究采用了先进的分位数对分位数工具。这种方法允许对每个国家内部的变量变化进行独立评估,提高了精度,并能更深入地理解每个国家的独特属性。研究结果表明,在大多数选定国家中,地缘政治风险与宗教暴力之间存在强烈且显著的正相关关系,每个国家对这些动态都表现出独特的模式和反应。结果凸显了政策制定者在进行严格评估和制定定制政策以应对地缘政治风险与宗教暴力之间复杂相互作用方面的关键作用,确保采取更有效且因地制宜的解决方案。

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