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具有事件发生时间终点的横断面阶梯楔形整群随机试验的功效计算。

Power calculation for cross-sectional stepped wedge cluster randomized trials with a time-to-event endpoint.

作者信息

Ryan Baumann Mary, Esserman Denise, Taljaard Monica, Li Fan

机构信息

Department of Population Health Sciences, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI 53726, United States.

Department of Biostatistics and Medical Informatics, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI 53726, United States.

出版信息

Biometrics. 2025 Apr 2;81(2). doi: 10.1093/biomtc/ujaf074.

Abstract

Stepped wedge cluster randomized trials (SW-CRTs) are a form of randomized trial whereby clusters are progressively transitioned from control to intervention, with the timing of transition randomized for each cluster. An important task at the design stage is to ensure that the planned trial has sufficient power. While methods for determining power have been well-developed for SW-CRTs with continuous and binary outcomes, limited methods for power calculation are available for SW-CRTs with censored time-to-event outcomes. In this article, we propose a stratified marginal Cox model to analyze cross-sectional SW-CRTs and then derive an explicit expression of the robust sandwich variance to facilitate power calculations without the need for computationally intensive simulations. Power formulas based on both the Wald and robust score tests are developed, assuming constant within-period and between-period correlation parameters, and are further validated via simulation under different finite-sample scenarios. Finally, we illustrate our methods in the context of a SW-CRT testing the effect of a new electronic reminder system on time to catheter removal in hospital settings. We also offer an R Shiny application to facilitate sample size and power calculations using our proposed methods.

摘要

阶梯楔形整群随机试验(SW-CRTs)是一种随机试验形式,其中整群逐步从对照状态转变为干预状态,每个整群的转变时间是随机的。设计阶段的一项重要任务是确保计划中的试验具有足够的检验效能。虽然对于具有连续和二元结局的SW-CRTs,确定检验效能的方法已经得到了很好的发展,但对于具有删失事件发生时间结局的SW-CRTs,可用的效能计算方法有限。在本文中,我们提出了一种分层边际Cox模型来分析横断面SW-CRTs,然后推导出稳健三明治方差的显式表达式,以便在无需进行计算密集型模拟的情况下进行效能计算。在假设周期内和周期间相关参数恒定的情况下,开发了基于Wald检验和稳健得分检验的效能公式,并通过不同有限样本情景下的模拟进一步验证。最后,我们在一项SW-CRT试验的背景下展示了我们的方法,该试验测试了一种新的电子提醒系统对医院环境中导管拔除时间的影响。我们还提供了一个R Shiny应用程序,以方便使用我们提出的方法进行样本量和效能计算。

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