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[德国的热穹顶以及我们对其的应对准备情况]

[Heat dome in Germany and how well we are prepared for it].

作者信息

Becker Clemens, Griebe Thomas, Weingart Christian

机构信息

Unit Digitale Geriatrie, Universitätsklinikum Heidelberg, Bergheimer Straße 20, 69115, Heidelberg, Deutschland.

Abteilung Umweltschutz, Stadt Duisburg, Umweltamt, Duisburg, Deutschland.

出版信息

Z Gerontol Geriatr. 2025 Jul;58(4):254-260. doi: 10.1007/s00391-025-02459-9. Epub 2025 Jun 27.

DOI:10.1007/s00391-025-02459-9
PMID:40576771
Abstract

BACKGROUND

In the last 4 years some countries, such as Arizona (USA), India, Saudi Arabia, Australia and British Columbia (Canada), have experienced extremely long heat waves of 40 °C and more. The duration of the episodes ranged from 14 days in Canada to more than 3 months in Arizona. The heat dome in the Vancouver region showed that similar events can occur in our latitudes but these are not adequately taken into account in the planning in Germany.

METHODS

So far only peer-reviewed data from Canada are available and data on other events have not yet been comprehensively processed. Governmental information and other trustworthy sources were used for the research. The aim was to identify areas which have so far not been sufficiently considered in the ongoing planning discourse in Germany.

RESULTS

Numerous measures were identified that have not or only insufficiently been considered in Germany, such as the establishment of crisis management teams, determination of prior planning of a communications strategy and predefined responsibilities for measures, such as bans on outdoor activities, evacuation and holiday restrictions for healthcare workers. Extreme heat events must be defined as natural disasters in order to initiate these and other measures in Germany due to legal requirements. Many of the measures that are now being planned on a voluntary basis would then have to be mandated and, if necessary, made compulsory.

CONCLUSION

The planning of measures for extreme heat events must be revised in many places in Germany. These are not stipulated in the 25 action plans for heat events published so far. Many regions are not adequately prepared. It is potentially about preventing tens of thousands of deaths that could occur in one single event.

摘要

背景

在过去4年里,一些国家,如美国亚利桑那州、印度、沙特阿拉伯、澳大利亚和加拿大不列颠哥伦比亚省,经历了40摄氏度及以上的极其漫长的热浪。热浪持续时间从加拿大的14天到亚利桑那州的3个多月不等。温哥华地区的热穹顶现象表明,类似事件在我们所在的纬度地区也可能发生,但在德国的规划中并未得到充分考虑。

方法

到目前为止,仅有来自加拿大的同行评审数据可用,其他事件的数据尚未得到全面处理。研究使用了政府信息和其他可靠来源。目的是确定在德国当前的规划讨论中迄今未得到充分考虑的领域。

结果

确定了许多在德国尚未或仅得到不充分考虑的措施,例如建立危机管理团队、确定通信策略的预先规划以及对诸如禁止户外活动、疏散和医护人员假期限制等措施的预先定义职责。由于法律要求,在德国必须将极端高温事件定义为自然灾害,以便启动这些及其他措施。现在许多自愿规划的措施届时将必须强制执行,如有必要,还需强制实施。

结论

德国许多地方必须修订极端高温事件的应对措施规划。在迄今发布的25份高温事件行动计划中并未对此作出规定。许多地区准备不足。这可能关乎预防在单次事件中可能发生的数万人死亡。

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