Kircher T, Nelson J, Burdo H
N Engl J Med. 1985 Nov 14;313(20):1263-9. doi: 10.1056/NEJM198511143132005.
To determine the extent of agreement on underlying cause of death between death certificates and autopsy reports, we analyzed 272 randomly selected autopsy reports and corresponding death certificates from among all such data on autopsies performed in Connecticut in 1980. In 29 per cent of the deaths, a major disagreement on the underlying cause of death led to reclassification of the death in a different International Classification of Diseases major disease category. In an additional 26 per cent, the death certificate and autopsy report agreed on the major disease category but attributed the death to a different specific disease. Deaths due to neoplasms were most accurately diagnosed, with a sensitivity of 87 per cent and a positive predictive value of 85 per cent. Deaths resulting from diseases of the respiratory or digestive system were associated with the highest rates of disagreement. Diseases most commonly overdiagnosed were circulatory disorders, ill-defined conditions, and respiratory diseases. Diseases most commonly underdiagnosed as the cause of death on the death certificate were specific traumatic conditions and gastrointestinal disorders. The autopsy remains an important method for ensuring the quality of mortality statistics.
为了确定死亡证明与尸检报告在根本死因认定上的一致程度,我们从1980年康涅狄格州进行的所有尸检数据中随机抽取了272份尸检报告及相应的死亡证明进行分析。在29%的死亡案例中,根本死因的重大分歧导致死亡被重新归类到不同的《国际疾病分类》主要疾病类别中。另外26%的案例中,死亡证明和尸检报告在主要疾病类别上达成一致,但将死亡归因于不同的具体疾病。肿瘤导致的死亡诊断最为准确,敏感性为87%,阳性预测值为85%。呼吸系统或消化系统疾病导致的死亡分歧率最高。最常被过度诊断的疾病是循环系统疾病、情况不明的病症和呼吸系统疾病。在死亡证明上最常被漏诊为死因的疾病是特定创伤性病症和胃肠道疾病。尸检仍然是确保死亡率统计质量的重要方法。