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描绘美国不同人口群体间的多维意识形态两极分化情况。

Charting multidimensional ideological polarization across demographic groups in the USA.

作者信息

Ojer Jaume, Cárcamo David, Pastor-Satorras Romualdo, Starnini Michele

机构信息

Departament de Física, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain.

Department of Engineering, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona, Spain.

出版信息

Nat Hum Behav. 2025 Jul 2. doi: 10.1038/s41562-025-02251-0.

Abstract

Has ideological polarization actually increased in the past decades, or have voters simply sorted themselves into parties matching their ideology more closely? Here we present a methodology to quantify multidimensional ideological polarization by embedding the respondents to a wide variety of political, social and economic topics from the American National Election Studies into a two-dimensional ideological space. By identifying several demographic attributes of the American National Election Studies respondents, we chart how political and socioeconomic groups move through the ideological space in time. We observe that income and especially racial groups align into parties, but their ideological distance has not increased over time. Instead, Democrats and Republicans have become ideologically more distant in the past 30 years: Both parties moved away from the centre, at different rates. Furthermore, Democratic voters have become ideologically more heterogeneous after 2010, indicating that partisan sorting has declined in the past decade.

摘要

在过去几十年里,意识形态两极分化实际上是加剧了,还是仅仅是选民们更倾向于选择与自身意识形态更相符的政党呢?在此,我们提出一种方法,通过将美国全国选举研究中针对广泛政治、社会和经济话题的受访者嵌入二维意识形态空间,来量化多维意识形态两极分化。通过识别美国全国选举研究受访者的若干人口统计学特征,我们描绘出政治和社会经济群体如何随时间在意识形态空间中移动。我们观察到,收入群体尤其是种族群体与政党结盟,但其意识形态距离并未随时间增加。相反,在过去30年里,民主党人和共和党人在意识形态上的距离变得更远:两党都以不同速度背离了中间立场。此外,2010年后民主党选民在意识形态上变得更加多样化,这表明在过去十年里党派分化有所下降。

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