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新冠疫情后时代小儿支原体肺炎感染的流行趋势与严重程度变化

Shifting epidemic trends and severity in pediatric Mycoplasma pneumoniae infections in the post-COVID-19 era.

作者信息

Yang Zongming, Shi Rui, Zhou Xiuyun, Xu Dong, Xue Wankai, Zhang Wenjing, Cao Xiaopei, Peng Jing, Luo Xiaoping, Huang Yongjian

机构信息

Department of Pediatrics, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430030, China.

Department of Clinical Laboratory, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430030, China.

出版信息

Ital J Pediatr. 2025 Jul 10;51(1):219. doi: 10.1186/s13052-025-02064-x.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

While non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) implemented for COVID-19 have been shown to affect the epidemiology of respiratory pathogens, the impact of China's prolonged NPIs on Mycoplasma pneumoniae (MP) remains unclear. This study aimed to analyze the MP test positivity rates, as well as assessing disease severity in pediatric cases before and after the three-year NPI period.

METHODS

We conducted a repeated cross-sectional study using electronic health records from Tongji Hospital, Wuhan, China. Children aged ≤ 14 years who tested nasopharyngeal/oropharyngeal swabs for MP using real-time polymerase chain reaction from January 2023 to June 2024 were included, along with data from four pre-intervention years (2016-2019). Primary outcomes included monthly MP test positivity rates and severity outcomes. To assess changes in test positivity, segmented quasi-Poisson regression models were used to calculate prevalence ratio (PR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Linear regression models were employed to evaluate changes in continuous severity parameters, while log-binomial models were used to assess the PR for dichotomous severity outcomes.

RESULTS

Among 56,232 pediatric patients, 10,476 (18.63%) tested positive for MP. The post-intervention MP resurgence peaked later, with an average monthly positivity rate significantly exceeding predicted values (18.77% vs. 10.87%; PR = 1.69, 95% CI: 1.33, 2.16). After adjusting for age and sex, children hospitalized with MP infection in the post-intervention period exhibited higher white blood cell counts (10^/L, β = 0.60, 95% CI: 0.24, 0.97), lower lactate dehydrogenase levels (IU/L, β=-11.15 95% CI: -18.76, -3.55), lower hemoglobin levels (g/L, β=-1.44, 95% CI: -2.05, -0.83), and increased risks for bronchopneumonia (PR = 1.35, 95% CI: 1.02, 1.81), oxygen administration (PR = 3.95, 95% CI: 3.32, 4.76), intrapulmonary complications (PR = 2.73, 95% CI: 2.03, 3.76), extrapulmonary complications (PR = 1.76, 95% CI: 1.41, 2.22), severe pneumonia (PR = 1.45, 95% CI: 1.22, 1.74), and glucocorticoid use (PR = 1.17, 95% CI: 1.11, 1.25) compared with the pre-intervention group.

CONCLUSIONS

A significant increase in MP infections and disease severity was observed following the relaxation of NPIs in late 2022, warranting further investigation into the long-term effects of NPIs on MP infections in children.

摘要

背景

虽然针对新冠疫情实施的非药物干预措施(NPIs)已被证明会影响呼吸道病原体的流行病学,但中国长期实施的NPIs对肺炎支原体(MP)的影响仍不清楚。本研究旨在分析三年NPIs实施前后MP检测阳性率,并评估儿科病例的疾病严重程度。

方法

我们利用中国武汉同济医院的电子健康记录进行了一项重复横断面研究。纳入了2023年1月至2024年6月期间使用实时聚合酶链反应对14岁及以下儿童的鼻咽/口咽拭子进行MP检测的儿童,以及四个干预前年份(2016 - 2019年)的数据。主要结果包括每月MP检测阳性率和严重程度结果。为评估检测阳性率的变化,采用分段准泊松回归模型计算患病率比(PR)和95%置信区间(CI)。采用线性回归模型评估连续严重程度参数的变化,而对数二项模型用于评估二分法严重程度结果的PR。

结果

在56232例儿科患者中,10476例(18.63%)MP检测呈阳性。干预后MP感染的复发高峰出现得较晚,平均每月阳性率显著超过预测值(18.77%对10.87%;PR = 1.69,95% CI:1.33,2.16)。在调整年龄和性别后,与干预前组相比,干预后因MP感染住院的儿童白细胞计数更高(10^/L,β = 0.60,95% CI:0.24,0.97),乳酸脱氢酶水平更低(IU/L,β = -11.15,95% CI:-18.76,-3.55),血红蛋白水平更低(g/L,β = -1.44,95% CI:-2.05,-0.83),支气管肺炎风险增加(PR = 1.35,95% CI:1.02,1.81),吸氧风险增加(PR = 3.95,95% CI:3.32,4.76),肺内并发症风险增加(PR = 2.73,95% CI:2.03,3.76),肺外并发症风险增加(PR = 1.76,95% CI:1.41,2.22),重症肺炎风险增加(PR = 1.45,95% CI:1.22,1.74),糖皮质激素使用风险增加(PR = 1.17,95% CI:1.11,1.25)。

结论

2022年末NPIs放宽后,观察到MP感染和疾病严重程度显著增加,有必要进一步研究NPIs对儿童MP感染的长期影响。

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