Peng Yunan, Han Mengyao, Liu Na, Zhang Bo
School of Management, China Institute for Studies in Energy Policy, Xiamen University, Fujian 361005, China.
School of Management, China University of Mining and Technology (Beijing), Beijing 100083, China.
iScience. 2025 May 29;28(7):112781. doi: 10.1016/j.isci.2025.112781. eCollection 2025 Jul 18.
Industrial process-related greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions represent a crucial factor in exacerbating climate change due to their hard-to-abate characteristics. Previous studies mainly focused on the production side to construct emission inventories, which makes identifying the drivers of industrial process-related emissions from the consumption and income sides essential. The results show that the per capita consumption and income were main driving factors, while emission intensity and changes in intermediate product structure were the main offsetting factors. From the perspective of major products, the changes in emission intensity was the main offsetting factors for clinker, lime, ammonia, and crude steel. The mitigation of China's industrial process-related GHG emissions is profoundly influenced by macroeconomic conditions, economic structures, and mitigation technologies. A multi-dimensional understanding of economic drivers of industrial process-related GHG emissions can facilitate cost-effective climate mitigation policies in China.
与工业过程相关的温室气体（GHG）排放因其难以减排的特性，成为加剧气候变化的关键因素。以往研究主要聚焦于生产端来构建排放清单，这使得从消费和收入端识别与工业过程相关排放的驱动因素至关重要。结果表明，人均消费和收入是主要驱动因素，而排放强度和中间产品结构变化是主要抵消因素。从主要产品角度看，排放强度变化是熟料、石灰、氨和粗钢的主要抵消因素。中国与工业过程相关的温室气体排放减排受到宏观经济状况、经济结构和减排技术的深刻影响。对与工业过程相关的温室气体排放经济驱动因素的多维理解有助于中国制定具有成本效益的气候减缓政策。
