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利用MERRA-2数据(1980 - 2024年)对非洲环境中大气气溶胶进行时空分析:对极端气候的影响。

Spatiotemporal analysis of atmospheric aerosols in African environments using MERRA-2 data (1980-2024): Impacts on climate extremes.

作者信息

Omokpariola Daniel O

机构信息

Environmental Chemistry and Toxicology Research Unit, Department of Pure and Industrial Chemistry, Nnamdi Azikiwe University, P.M.B 5025, Awka, Anambra State, Nigeria.

Department of Production and Technical, Office Chérifien des Phosphates (OCP) Africa Fertilizers Nigeria Limited, Abuja, Nigeria.

出版信息

iScience. 2025 Jun 25;28(8):112995. doi: 10.1016/j.isci.2025.112995. eCollection 2025 Aug 15.

Abstract

This study investigates atmospheric aerosol trends and their climatic impacts across Africa from 1980 to 2024 using MERRA-2 reanalysis data. It reveals rising concentrations of organic and black carbon, dust, and PM., largely driven by industrialization and urbanization. These aerosols influence climate extremes by altering radiation balance and cloud dynamics, contributing to increased heatwave frequency, temperature rise, and precipitation variability. The study employs spatiotemporal analysis and predictive modeling to assess aerosol-climate interactions and their implications for human health, agriculture, and water resources. Findings highlight consistent warming, worsening drought conditions, and elevated public health risks, particularly in urban and arid regions. This work underscores the need for targeted adaptation strategies and air quality management to mitigate the socio-environmental impacts of climate change in Africa.

摘要

本研究利用MERRA - 2再分析数据调查了1980年至2024年期间非洲大气气溶胶的趋势及其气候影响。研究发现,有机碳、黑碳、沙尘和颗粒物的浓度呈上升趋势,这主要是由工业化和城市化推动的。这些气溶胶通过改变辐射平衡和云动力学来影响极端气候,导致热浪频率增加、气温上升和降水变率增大。该研究采用时空分析和预测模型来评估气溶胶与气候的相互作用及其对人类健康、农业和水资源的影响。研究结果突出了持续变暖、干旱状况恶化以及公共健康风险升高的问题,特别是在城市和干旱地区。这项工作强调了制定有针对性的适应策略和空气质量管理措施以减轻气候变化对非洲社会环境影响的必要性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f507/12275959/2a4961d2a6da/fx1.jpg

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