Zhou Liang, Cai Xiaona, Hu Kunpeng, Tang Shuo, Gao Dandan, Zhang Xiaojuan, Wu Yin, He Li, Zhou Bangfu, Wu Ruoyu, Zhang Zhigang
State Key Laboratory of Trauma and Chemical Poisoning, Department of Field Medical Equipment, Daping Hospital, Army Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Department of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, Daping Hospital, Army Medical University, Chongqing, China.
PLoS One. 2025 Jul 24;20(7):e0327501. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0327501. eCollection 2025.
This study was a post hoc analysis of data from a retrospective cohort population. The purpose of this study was to analyze the predictive value of albumin for the short-term survival of patients with unplanned early readmission to the emergency department (ED).
A total of 6,249 emergency patients were enrolled in this study, including 5,368 patients (85.49%) who had been admitted for the first time and 881 patients (14.51%) with unplanned early readmission to the ED; the data were from the clinical cohort data publicly released on the Dryad website. The patients were classified on the basis of the tertile of their albumin values. Kaplan‒Meier survival curve analysis, the log-rank test and a Cox proportional hazards model were used to analyze the associations between albumin levels and 30-day mortality risk in emergency patients. The dose‒response relationship between albumin and outcome was fitted by a restricted cubic spline (RCS). Sensitivity analysis was performed on the results of the difference test by creating a multivariate Cox regression model with the forward likelihood ratio (LR) method.
The demographic characteristics and clinical indicators of patients in the ED differed according to the number of admissions. The median albumin level of patients admitted to the hospital for the first time was greater than that of patients who were readmitted (Z = -9.642, P < 0.001). The duration of patient hospitalization was used as the follow-up time. The median length of hospitalization was 2 days (range: 1-123 days); 328 patients died within 30 days, and the all-cause mortality rate of patients with unplanned early readmission was higher than that of first-time hospitalization patients (4.49% vs. 9.86%, [Formula: see text] =44.136, P < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis revealed that albumin levels were associated with 30-day mortality in all patients, first-time admitted patients, and patients with unplanned early readmission (log-rank test, P < 0.001). The multivariate Cox regression model revealed that albumin was a significant factor only in all patients combined (HR 0.93, 95% CI 0.91-0.95, P < 0.001) and in first-time admitted patients (HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.89-0.94, P < 0.001) but not in patients with unplanned early readmission (HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.93-1.01, P = 0.121). The same result was obtained with a Cox regression model in which albumin was included as a categorical variable. Sensitivity analysis revealed that the results of multivariate Cox regression analysis were reliable.
There was a specific correlation between albumin and the short-term outcome of emergency patients. Albumin levels are associated with short-term outcomes in patients admitted to the hospital for the first time, but its association with the outcomes of patients with unplanned early readmission to the ED is likely trivial.
本研究是对回顾性队列人群数据的事后分析。本研究的目的是分析白蛋白对急诊科(ED)非计划早期再入院患者短期生存的预测价值。
本研究共纳入6249例急诊患者,其中首次入院患者5368例(85.49%),非计划早期再入院至ED的患者881例(14.51%);数据来自Dryad网站公开的临床队列数据。患者根据白蛋白值的三分位数进行分类。采用Kaplan-Meier生存曲线分析、对数秩检验和Cox比例风险模型分析急诊患者白蛋白水平与30天死亡风险之间的关联。白蛋白与结局之间的剂量反应关系采用受限立方样条(RCS)进行拟合。通过向前似然比(LR)法创建多变量Cox回归模型,对差异检验结果进行敏感性分析。
ED患者的人口统计学特征和临床指标因入院次数而异。首次入院患者的白蛋白中位数水平高于再入院患者(Z = -9.642,P < 0.001)。将患者住院时间作为随访时间。住院时间中位数为2天(范围:1 - 123天);328例患者在30天内死亡,非计划早期再入院患者的全因死亡率高于首次住院患者(4.49%对9.86%,[公式:见正文] = 44.136,P < 0.001)。Kaplan-Meier生存曲线分析显示,白蛋白水平与所有患者、首次入院患者和非计划早期再入院患者的30天死亡率相关(对数秩检验,P < 0.001)。多变量Cox回归模型显示,白蛋白仅在所有患者合并组(HR 0.93,95%CI 0.91 - 0.95,P < 0.001)和首次入院患者中是一个显著因素(HR 0.92,95%CI 0.89 - 0.94,P < 0.001),而在非计划早期再入院患者中不是(HR 0.97,95%CI 0.93 - 1.01,P = 0.121)。将白蛋白作为分类变量纳入的Cox回归模型也得到了相同的结果。敏感性分析显示多变量Cox回归分析结果可靠。
白蛋白与急诊患者的短期结局存在特定相关性。白蛋白水平与首次入院患者的短期结局相关,但其与非计划早期再入院至ED患者结局的关联可能微不足道。