Yu E, Li Chunhui
Institute of Data Science and Big Data Technology, School of Mathematics and Physics, Wuhan Institute of Technology, Wuhan 430205, China.
Trop Med Infect Dis. 2025 Jun 26;10(7):180. doi: 10.3390/tropicalmed10070180.
BACKGROUND: Lower respiratory infections (LRIs) are the leading cause of the global disease burden, accounting for millions of deaths each year. METHODS: Data on LRIs, including deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and incidence, were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Joinpoint regression was employed to assess temporal trends in the LRIs' burden, while the age-period-cohort model was used to evaluate age, period, and cohort effects. Pearson's correlation coefficients were calculated to examine the relationship between DALYs attributable to risk factors and the socio-demographic index (SDI). RESULTS: Over recent decades, the average annual percentage change in age-standardized mortality rate, age-standardized DALYs rate, and age-standardized incidence rate of LRIs globally were -2.4%, -3.5%, and -1.3%, respectively. Notably, the LRIs' burden dropped considerably from 2019 to 2021. The disease burden was higher among children under five and individuals over 60 compared to other age groups. In terms of gender, males had a higher burden. The age-standardized DALYs rate of LRIs was strongly and negatively correlated with SDI ( = -0.84; < 0.05). remained the leading pathogen, followed by , and . CONCLUSIONS: In recent years, the global burden of LRIs has declined, but regional, gender, and age disparities persist. Targeted measures are needed to address high-risk populations and major risk factors.
背景:下呼吸道感染(LRIs)是全球疾病负担的主要原因,每年导致数百万人死亡。 方法:从《2021年全球疾病负担研究》中获取下呼吸道感染的数据,包括死亡人数、伤残调整生命年(DALYs)和发病率。采用Joinpoint回归评估下呼吸道感染负担的时间趋势,同时使用年龄-时期-队列模型评估年龄、时期和队列效应。计算Pearson相关系数,以检验可归因于风险因素的伤残调整生命年与社会人口指数(SDI)之间的关系。 结果:近几十年来,全球下呼吸道感染的年龄标准化死亡率、年龄标准化伤残调整生命年率和年龄标准化发病率的年均变化百分比分别为-2.4%、-3.5%和-1.3%。值得注意的是,2019年至2021年期间,下呼吸道感染的负担大幅下降。与其他年龄组相比,五岁以下儿童和60岁以上人群的疾病负担更高。在性别方面,男性的负担更高。下呼吸道感染的年龄标准化伤残调整生命年率与社会人口指数呈强烈负相关( = -0.84; < 0.05)。 仍然是主要病原体,其次是 、 和 。 结论:近年来,全球下呼吸道感染负担有所下降,但地区、性别和年龄差异依然存在。需要采取针对性措施来应对高危人群和主要风险因素。
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