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下呼吸道感染疾病负担的全球趋势及可归因风险因素

Global Trends and Attributable Risk Factors in the Disease Burden of Lower Respiratory Infections.

作者信息

Yu E, Li Chunhui

机构信息

Institute of Data Science and Big Data Technology, School of Mathematics and Physics, Wuhan Institute of Technology, Wuhan 430205, China.

出版信息

Trop Med Infect Dis. 2025 Jun 26;10(7):180. doi: 10.3390/tropicalmed10070180.


DOI:10.3390/tropicalmed10070180
PMID:40711057
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12300696/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: Lower respiratory infections (LRIs) are the leading cause of the global disease burden, accounting for millions of deaths each year. METHODS: Data on LRIs, including deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and incidence, were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Joinpoint regression was employed to assess temporal trends in the LRIs' burden, while the age-period-cohort model was used to evaluate age, period, and cohort effects. Pearson's correlation coefficients were calculated to examine the relationship between DALYs attributable to risk factors and the socio-demographic index (SDI). RESULTS: Over recent decades, the average annual percentage change in age-standardized mortality rate, age-standardized DALYs rate, and age-standardized incidence rate of LRIs globally were -2.4%, -3.5%, and -1.3%, respectively. Notably, the LRIs' burden dropped considerably from 2019 to 2021. The disease burden was higher among children under five and individuals over 60 compared to other age groups. In terms of gender, males had a higher burden. The age-standardized DALYs rate of LRIs was strongly and negatively correlated with SDI ( = -0.84; < 0.05). remained the leading pathogen, followed by , and . CONCLUSIONS: In recent years, the global burden of LRIs has declined, but regional, gender, and age disparities persist. Targeted measures are needed to address high-risk populations and major risk factors.

摘要

背景:下呼吸道感染(LRIs)是全球疾病负担的主要原因,每年导致数百万人死亡。 方法:从《2021年全球疾病负担研究》中获取下呼吸道感染的数据,包括死亡人数、伤残调整生命年(DALYs)和发病率。采用Joinpoint回归评估下呼吸道感染负担的时间趋势,同时使用年龄-时期-队列模型评估年龄、时期和队列效应。计算Pearson相关系数,以检验可归因于风险因素的伤残调整生命年与社会人口指数(SDI)之间的关系。 结果:近几十年来,全球下呼吸道感染的年龄标准化死亡率、年龄标准化伤残调整生命年率和年龄标准化发病率的年均变化百分比分别为-2.4%、-3.5%和-1.3%。值得注意的是,2019年至2021年期间,下呼吸道感染的负担大幅下降。与其他年龄组相比,五岁以下儿童和60岁以上人群的疾病负担更高。在性别方面,男性的负担更高。下呼吸道感染的年龄标准化伤残调整生命年率与社会人口指数呈强烈负相关( = -0.84; < 0.05)。 仍然是主要病原体,其次是 、 和 。 结论:近年来,全球下呼吸道感染负担有所下降,但地区、性别和年龄差异依然存在。需要采取针对性措施来应对高危人群和主要风险因素。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/89de/12300696/c2a9d8e41b28/tropicalmed-10-00180-g006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/89de/12300696/c23022f6012a/tropicalmed-10-00180-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/89de/12300696/567cd63d5e3c/tropicalmed-10-00180-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/89de/12300696/c17af2f581ac/tropicalmed-10-00180-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/89de/12300696/8b0130a24486/tropicalmed-10-00180-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/89de/12300696/91fe4693f5af/tropicalmed-10-00180-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/89de/12300696/c2a9d8e41b28/tropicalmed-10-00180-g006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/89de/12300696/c23022f6012a/tropicalmed-10-00180-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/89de/12300696/567cd63d5e3c/tropicalmed-10-00180-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/89de/12300696/c17af2f581ac/tropicalmed-10-00180-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/89de/12300696/8b0130a24486/tropicalmed-10-00180-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/89de/12300696/91fe4693f5af/tropicalmed-10-00180-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/89de/12300696/c2a9d8e41b28/tropicalmed-10-00180-g006.jpg

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本文引用的文献

[1]
Respiratory Syncytial Virus: A Narrative Review of Updates and Recent Advances in Epidemiology, Pathogenesis, Diagnosis, Management and Prevention.

J Clin Med. 2025-5-30

[2]
The global burden of Klebsiella pneumoniae-associated lower respiratory infection in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2021: Findings from the global burden of disease study 2021.

PLoS One. 2025-5-19

[3]
Burden of non-COVID-19 lower respiratory infections in China (1990-2021): a global burden of disease study analysis.

Respir Res. 2025-4-2

[4]
Respiratory Virus Vaccines: Pathways to Recommendations and Enhanced Coverage for At-Risk Populations.

Infect Dis Ther. 2025-1

[5]
Systematic analysis and prediction of the burden of lower respiratory tract infections attribute to non-optimal temperature, 1990-2019.

Front Public Health. 2024

[6]
Effect of the lack of access to handwashing facilities on the global burden of lower respiratory infections, 1990-2019: A systematic analysis from the global burden of disease study 2019.

Heliyon. 2024-9-16

[7]
Risk factors for respiratory syncytial virus-associated acute lower respiratory infection in children under 5 years: An updated systematic review and meta-analysis.

Int J Infect Dis. 2024-9

[8]
Global burden and strength of evidence for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and 811 subnational locations, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Lancet. 2024-5-18

[9]
Global incidence, prevalence, years lived with disability (YLDs), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 371 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Lancet. 2024-5-18

[10]
Global, regional, and national incidence and mortality burden of non-COVID-19 lower respiratory infections and aetiologies, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Lancet Infect Dis. 2024-9

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