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1990 - 2021年全球儿童风湿性心脏病负担:全球疾病负担研究2021分析

Global Burden of Pediatric Rheumatic Heart Disease, 1990-2021: Analysis of the GBD 2021 Study.

作者信息

Tang Ze, Wang Ziwei, Wang Xinbao

机构信息

Department of Pediatrics, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100050, China.

出版信息

Children (Basel). 2025 Jun 26;12(7):843. doi: 10.3390/children12070843.

Abstract

: Rheumatic heart disease (RHD) remains a major contributor to childhood cardiovascular morbidity and mortality globally, particularly in low-resource settings. This study offers a thorough evaluation of the global, regional, and national burden of RHD among children aged 0-14 years, from 1990 to 2021, utilizing data from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. : We analyzed age-standardized incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for RHD in 204 countries and territories. Novel methodological approaches included APC analysis to decompose temporal trends into age, period, and cohort effects, and inequality analysis to assess socioeconomic disparities. We calculated age-standardized rates and average annual percentage changes (AAPC) by sex, region, and socio-demographic index (SDI) level. : From 1990 to 2021, the global age-standardized death rate due to RHD in children declined by approximately 74%, from 1.24 to 0.32 per 100,000 (AAPC: -4.27%). Similarly, DALY rates dropped from 117.22 to 41.56 per 100,000 (AAPC: -3.30%). Despite this progress, the global age-standardized incidence rate increased modestly from 55.84 to 66.76 per 100,000 (AAPC: 0.58%), and prevalence rates also rose (AAPC: 0.53%). Females consistently experienced higher burden across all metrics. Inequality analysis demonstrated a concerning divergence: while mortality and DALY inequalities narrowed substantially (mortality slope index of inequality (SII) improved from -1.35 to -0.31), incidence and prevalence inequalities widened (incidence SII worsened from -112.60 to -131.90), indicating growing disparities in disease occurrence despite improved survival. : While global mortality and DALYs from childhood rheumatic heart disease have declined substantially over the past three decades, a troubling paradox has emerged: rising incidence rates alongside widening socioeconomic inequalities in disease occurrence. This represents a critical public health challenge demanding targeted intervention strategies. The divergent trends in health outcomes, namely, improved survival rates but increased disease burden, reveal that while access to treatment has advanced, upstream prevention efforts remain critically inadequate among socioeconomically disadvantaged populations.

摘要

风湿性心脏病(RHD)仍是全球儿童心血管疾病发病和死亡的主要原因,在资源匮乏地区尤其如此。本研究利用2021年全球疾病负担(GBD)研究的数据,对1990年至2021年期间0至14岁儿童的RHD全球、区域和国家负担进行了全面评估。

我们分析了204个国家和地区RHD的年龄标准化发病率、患病率、死亡率和伤残调整生命年(DALYs)。新的方法包括APC分析,将时间趋势分解为年龄、时期和队列效应,以及不平等分析,以评估社会经济差异。我们按性别、地区和社会人口指数(SDI)水平计算了年龄标准化率和平均年度百分比变化(AAPC)。

从1990年到2021年,全球儿童RHD的年龄标准化死亡率下降了约74%,从每10万人1.24例降至0.32例(AAPC:-4.27%)。同样,DALY率从每10万人117.22例降至41.56例(AAPC:-3.30%)。尽管取得了这一进展,但全球年龄标准化发病率从每10万人55.84例略有上升至66.76例(AAPC:0.58%),患病率也有所上升(AAPC:0.53%)。在所有指标上,女性始终承受着更高负担。不平等分析显示出一个令人担忧的差异:虽然死亡率和DALY不平等大幅缩小(不平等斜率指数(SII)从-1.35改善至-0.31),但发病率和患病率不平等却扩大了(发病率SII从-112.60恶化至-131.90),这表明尽管生存率提高,但疾病发生方面不平等在加剧。

虽然过去三十年全球儿童风湿性心脏病的死亡率和DALYs大幅下降,但出现了一个令人不安的悖论:发病率上升以及疾病发生方面社会经济不平等加剧。这是一个需要有针对性干预策略的关键公共卫生挑战。健康结果的不同趋势,即生存率提高但疾病负担增加,表明虽然治疗可及性有所进步,但在社会经济弱势人群中上游预防工作仍严重不足。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1522/12293350/165762fca409/children-12-00843-g001.jpg

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