日本2型糖尿病患者增加酸奶摄入量的成本效益
The Cost-Effectiveness of Increased Yogurt Intake in Type 2 Diabetes in Japan.
作者信息
Wakayama Ryota, Araki Michihiro, Nakamura Mieko, Ikeda Nayu
机构信息
National Institute of Health and Nutrition, National Institutes of Biochemical Innovation, Health and Nutrition, 3-17 Senriokashimmachi, Settsu 566-0002, Osaka, Japan.
Meiji Co., Ltd., 2-2-1 Kyobashi, Chuo-ku 104-8306, Tokyo, Japan.
出版信息
Nutrients. 2025 Jul 9;17(14):2278. doi: 10.3390/nu17142278.
: A healthy diet helps prevent noncommunicable diseases, and dairy is an essential part of this diet. Multiple meta-analyses have shown an inverse association between yogurt intake and type 2 diabetes (T2D). This study aimed to develop a simulation model and evaluate the medical and economic effects of increased yogurt intake on T2D. : It predicted the T2D incidence rate, T2D mortality rate, and national healthcare expenditures (NHE) over 10 years using a Markov model for the Japanese population aged 40-79 years. : By increasing yogurt intake to 160 g/day or 80 g/day, the incidence rate of T2D decreased by 16.1% or 5.9%, the T2D-related mortality rate decreased by 1.6% or 0.6%, and the NHE was predicted to decrease by 2.4% and 0.9%, respectively. : Increasing yogurt intake may be an effective strategy to prevent T2D and reduce NHE.
健康饮食有助于预防非传染性疾病，而乳制品是这种饮食的重要组成部分。多项荟萃分析表明，酸奶摄入量与2型糖尿病（T2D）之间存在负相关。本研究旨在开发一个模拟模型，并评估增加酸奶摄入量对T2D的医学和经济影响。：它使用马尔可夫模型对40-79岁的日本人群预测了10年内的T2D发病率、T2D死亡率和国家医疗保健支出（NHE）。：通过将酸奶摄入量增加到每天160克或80克，T2D发病率分别降低了16.1%或5.9%，T2D相关死亡率分别降低了1.6%或0.6%，预计NHE将分别降低2.4%和0.9%。：增加酸奶摄入量可能是预防T2D和降低NHE的有效策略。
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