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衰弱指数-实验室指标及淋巴细胞亚群模式在预测老年脓毒症患者28天死亡率中的作用:一项多中心观察性队列研究

Frailty Index-laboratory and lymphocyte subset patterns in predicting 28-day mortality among elderly sepsis patients: a multicenter observational cohort study.

作者信息

Li Dongkai, Hou Jiatong, Shi Zhan, Li Xiao, Zhang Jiahui, Zhao Guoyu, Lei Xianli, Xie Yawen, Wang Yuefu, Wang Hao, Chang Zhigang, Cui Na

机构信息

Department of Critical Care Medicine, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Beijing, China.

Surgical Intensive Care Unit, Beijing Shijitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.

出版信息

Front Immunol. 2025 Jul 16;16:1624655. doi: 10.3389/fimmu.2025.1624655. eCollection 2025.

DOI:10.3389/fimmu.2025.1624655
PMID:40740787
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12307218/
Abstract

BACKGROUND

Frailty is associated with poor outcomes in elderly sepsis patients. This study investigated the relationship between Frailty Index-laboratory (FI-lab) and lymphocyte patterns in predicting 28-day mortality among elderly sepsis patients.

METHODS

We conducted a multicenter prospective observational study in four tertiary hospitals in Beijing, China. FI-lab was calculated using 24 laboratory parameters. Peripheral blood lymphocyte subsets were measured at ICU admission. Lymphocyte count trajectories were classified into four phenotypes based on patterns during the first 72 hours. The primary outcome was 28-day mortality.

RESULTS

Among 1,197 patients (mean age 74.6 ± 7.4 years), those with high FI-lab risk showed higher mortality (22.2%) than intermediate (12.0%) and low-risk groups (6.1%). Age-stratified analysis demonstrated consistent FI-lab prognostic value in both 65-79 years (OR 2.18) and ≥80 years (OR 2.47) groups. All lymphocyte subset counts were lower in non-survivors, particularly natural killer cells. In multivariable analysis, high FI-lab risk (OR 2.31), APACHE-II scores (OR 1.08), heart rate (OR 1.01), NK cell count (OR 0.994), and pulmonary infection (OR 1.96) independently predicted 28-day mortality. A combined model incorporating these variables showed superior discriminative ability (AUC=0.788) with excellent internal validation (optimism-corrected AUC=0.775).

CONCLUSIONS

FI-lab independently predicts mortality in elderly sepsis patients and correlates with lymphocyte abnormalities. When comprehensive immune assessment is unavailable, lymphocyte trajectory patterns offer a practical approach for risk stratification.

摘要

背景

衰弱与老年脓毒症患者的不良预后相关。本研究调查了衰弱指数-实验室指标(FI-lab)与淋巴细胞模式在预测老年脓毒症患者28天死亡率中的关系。

方法

我们在中国北京的四家三级医院进行了一项多中心前瞻性观察研究。FI-lab使用24项实验室参数计算得出。在重症监护病房(ICU)入院时测量外周血淋巴细胞亚群。根据最初72小时内的模式,将淋巴细胞计数轨迹分为四种表型。主要结局是28天死亡率。

结果

在1197例患者(平均年龄74.6±7.4岁)中,FI-lab高风险组的死亡率(22.2%)高于中风险组(12.0%)和低风险组(6.1%)。年龄分层分析表明,FI-lab在65 - 79岁(OR 2.18)和≥80岁(OR 2.47)组中均具有一致的预后价值。非存活者的所有淋巴细胞亚群计数均较低,尤其是自然杀伤细胞。在多变量分析中,FI-lab高风险(OR 2.31)、急性生理与慢性健康状况评分系统-II(APACHE-II)评分(OR 1.08)、心率(OR 1.01)、自然杀伤细胞计数(OR ...... 显示全部内容

请注意,你提供的原文中“NK cell count (OR 0.994)”这里似乎不完整,翻译时保留了原文格式。完整译文为:

背景

衰弱与老年脓毒症患者的不良预后相关。本研究调查了衰弱指数-实验室指标(FI-lab)与淋巴细胞模式在预测老年脓毒症患者28天死亡率中的关系。

方法

我们在中国北京的四家三级医院进行了一项多中心前瞻性观察研究。FI-lab使用24项实验室参数计算得出。在重症监护病房(ICU)入院时测量外周血淋巴细胞亚群。根据最初72小时内的模式,将淋巴细胞计数轨迹分为四种表型。主要结局是28天死亡率。

结果

在1197例患者(平均年龄74.6±7.4岁)中,FI-lab高风险组的死亡率(22.2%)高于中风险组(12.0%)和低风险组(6.1%)。年龄分层分析表明,FI-lab在65 - 79岁(OR 2.18)和≥80岁(OR 2.47)组中均具有一致的预后价值。非存活者的所有淋巴细胞亚群计数均较低,尤其是自然杀伤细胞。在多变量分析中,FI-lab高风险(OR 2.31)、急性生理与慢性健康状况评分系统-II(APACHE-II)评分(OR 1.08)、心率(OR 1.01)、自然杀伤细胞计数(OR 0.994)和肺部感染(OR 1.96)独立预测28天死亡率。包含这些变量的联合模型显示出更好的判别能力(AUC = 0.788),且具有出色的内部验证(乐观校正AUC = 0.775)。

结论

FI-lab可独立预测老年脓毒症患者的死亡率,并与淋巴细胞异常相关。当无法进行全面的免疫评估时,淋巴细胞轨迹模式为风险分层提供了一种实用方法。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2ca3/12307218/36f2b2a8b045/fimmu-16-1624655-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2ca3/12307218/330f3c104664/fimmu-16-1624655-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2ca3/12307218/da6cd386ca09/fimmu-16-1624655-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2ca3/12307218/36f2b2a8b045/fimmu-16-1624655-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2ca3/12307218/330f3c104664/fimmu-16-1624655-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2ca3/12307218/da6cd386ca09/fimmu-16-1624655-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2ca3/12307218/36f2b2a8b045/fimmu-16-1624655-g003.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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Dynamic changes in peripheral blood lymphocyte trajectory predict the clinical outcomes of sepsis.外周血淋巴细胞轨迹的动态变化可预测脓毒症的临床结局。
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Sepsis pathogenesis and outcome are shaped by the balance between the transcriptional states of systemic inflammation and antimicrobial response.
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Age Ageing. 2024 Feb 1;53(2). doi: 10.1093/ageing/afae013.
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Frailty assessment tools in the emergency department: A geriatric emergency department guidelines 2.0 scoping review.急诊科的衰弱评估工具:老年急诊科指南2.0范围综述。
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The frailty index based on laboratory test data as a tool to investigate the impact of frailty on health outcomes: a systematic review and meta-analysis.基于实验室检测数据的衰弱指数作为研究衰弱对健康结局影响的工具:系统评价和荟萃分析。
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