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利用DSSAT作物模型研究节水情景下的水稻产量变化

Study of the rice yield variations under water saving scenarios using DSSAT crop model.

作者信息

Hsieh Chih-Yu, Chen Hungyen, Wu Yi-Chien, Teng Chih-Yung, Li Cheng-Hong

机构信息

Department of Agronomy, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan.

Taichung District Agricultural Research and Extension Station, Council of Agriculture, Changhua, Taiwan.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2025 Aug 1;20(8):e0329509. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0329509. eCollection 2025.

DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0329509
PMID:40748922
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12316223/
Abstract

The current instability of water resources poses a major challenge and may lead to a food shortage crisis. To address this issue and to cope with the challenges of future extreme weather events and insufficient water resources, it is imperative to develop water-saving cultivation measures. This study used the long-term historical yield data of three rice varieties, TK9, TNG67 and TCS10, from an agricultural research station in Taiwan, simulated two water-saving cultivation experiments using the DSSAT crop model, and established a yield model based on the water-saving ratio, aiming to recommend appropriate irrigation water for Taiwan rice varieties. The goal was to save water while ensuring that the yield is not affected. Through water-saving cultivation simulation experiments, we estimated that under the condition of maintaining more than 90% of rice yield, water-saving irrigation treatment of rice in two different cropping seasons can save about 48% to 100% and 42% to 61% of irrigation water respectively. For irrigation treatment during sensitive growth stages, significant water-saving effects can be achieved, which are about 40% to 75% and 55% to 91% respectively. This study suggests that in the case of water shortage, it is possible to consider moderately increasing the water-saving ratio and implementing irrigation during sensitive growth periods, so as to effectively cope with future water shortage scenarios and achieve sustainable rice production while saving water resources.

摘要

当前水资源的不稳定构成了一项重大挑战,并可能导致粮食短缺危机。为解决这一问题并应对未来极端天气事件和水资源不足的挑战,开发节水栽培措施势在必行。本研究利用台湾某农业研究站三个水稻品种TK9、TNG67和TCS10的长期历史产量数据,使用DSSAT作物模型模拟了两个节水栽培试验,并基于节水率建立了产量模型,旨在为台湾水稻品种推荐合适的灌溉用水。目标是在确保产量不受影响的同时节约用水。通过节水栽培模拟试验,我们估计在保持水稻产量90%以上的条件下,两个不同种植季节的水稻节水灌溉处理分别可节约约48%至100%和42%至61%的灌溉用水。对于敏感生育期的灌溉处理,可实现显著的节水效果,分别约为40%至75%和55%至91%。本研究表明,在缺水情况下,可以考虑适度提高节水率并在敏感生育期进行灌溉,从而有效应对未来缺水情景,在节约水资源的同时实现水稻可持续生产。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/36ac/12316223/8a1e882c6a36/pone.0329509.g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/36ac/12316223/7ced87c37508/pone.0329509.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/36ac/12316223/42161e51558c/pone.0329509.g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/36ac/12316223/1660d20bb1d1/pone.0329509.g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/36ac/12316223/8a1e882c6a36/pone.0329509.g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/36ac/12316223/7ced87c37508/pone.0329509.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/36ac/12316223/42161e51558c/pone.0329509.g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/36ac/12316223/1660d20bb1d1/pone.0329509.g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/36ac/12316223/8a1e882c6a36/pone.0329509.g004.jpg

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