评估巴基斯坦卡拉奇死亡病例中呼吸道感染的负担:大流行后监测分析
Evaluating the burden of respiratory tract infections among mortality cases in Karachi, Pakistan: a post-pandemic surveillance analysis.
作者信息
Kabir Furqan, Allana Raheel, Yildirim Inci, Hotwani Aneeta, Belgaumi Sameer M, Aziz Fatima, Malik Fauzia Aman, Jamal Saima, Aguolu Obianuju, Ahsan Nazia, Hasan Zahra, Ariff Shabina, Omer Saad B, Kazi Abdul Momin
机构信息
Department of Paediatrics, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan.
Department of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, USA.
出版信息
J Glob Health. 2025 Aug 4;15:04198. doi: 10.7189/jogh.15.04198.
BACKGROUND
Respiratory tract infections (RTIs) significantly impact global health, but particularly affect low- and middle-income countries. They contribute to morbidity and mortality, especially among vulnerable populations. We evaluated the burden of RTIs in mortality cases in an urban slum of Karachi, Pakistan, during the post-COVID-19 pandemic period.
METHODS
We conducted a prospective observational study from September 2022 to October 2023 in Ali Akbar Shah, Karachi. We collected 350 nasal swabs from deceased individuals and tested them for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and other respiratory pathogens using reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) and the TaqMan Array Card (TAC) assay. Additionally, we performed verbal autopsies to determine the cause of death.
RESULTS
Most deaths occurred at home (n/N = 234/350, 66.8%). Hospital-based deaths were more common among children under five years of age (n/N = 81/132, 61.3%), while individuals over five were more likely to die at home (n/N = 180/211, 85.3%). In the post-pandemic period, 6% (n/N = 21/350) of deceased individuals tested positive for COVID-19. The TAC assay analysis found Klebsiella pneumoniae (n/N = 150/350, 42.8%), Staphylococcus aureus (n/N = 141/350, 40.3%), and Streptococcus pneumoniae (n/N = 106/350, 30.3%) to be the most common pathogens. Co-infections were common, with 90.4% of COVID-19-positive cases also harbouring other respiratory pathogens.
CONCLUSIONS
We observed a high burden of RTIs in Karachi, with Klebsiella pneumoniae playing a major role in overall mortality across all age groups. Co-infections with multiple respiratory pathogens were common, underscoring the need for better diagnostic and treatment strategies. Improved surveillance and potential vaccine development for Klebsiella pneumoniae and other notable pathogens could reduce mortality in similar settings. However, limitations such as post-mortem colonisation, contamination, and the absence of histopathologic confirmation necessitate cautious interpretation of pathogen-related mortality.
背景
呼吸道感染(RTIs)对全球健康有重大影响,但对低收入和中等收入国家影响尤为严重。它们会导致发病和死亡,特别是在弱势群体中。我们评估了在新冠疫情后时期,巴基斯坦卡拉奇一个城市贫民窟中呼吸道感染在死亡病例中的负担情况。
方法
2022年9月至2023年10月,我们在卡拉奇的阿里·阿克巴·沙阿地区开展了一项前瞻性观察研究。我们从已故个体中采集了350份鼻拭子,使用逆转录聚合酶链反应(RT-PCR)和TaqMan Array Card(TAC)检测法对其进行严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2(SARS-CoV-2)和其他呼吸道病原体检测。此外,我们进行了口头尸检以确定死亡原因。
结果
大多数死亡发生在家中(n/N = 234/350,66.8%)。五岁以下儿童中,在医院死亡的情况更为常见(n/N = 81/132,61.3%),而五岁以上个体更有可能在家中死亡(n/N = 180/211,85.3%)。在疫情后时期,6%(n/N = 21/350)的已故个体新冠病毒检测呈阳性。TAC检测分析发现肺炎克雷伯菌(n/N = 150/350,42.8%)、金黄色葡萄球菌(n/N = 141/350,40.3%)和肺炎链球菌(n/N = 106/350,30.3%)是最常见的病原体。合并感染很常见,90.4%的新冠病毒阳性病例同时还携带其他呼吸道病原体。
结论
我们观察到卡拉奇呼吸道感染负担较重,肺炎克雷伯菌在所有年龄组的总体死亡率中起主要作用。多种呼吸道病原体合并感染很常见,这凸显了需要更好的诊断和治疗策略。改善对肺炎克雷伯菌和其他重要病原体的监测以及潜在的疫苗研发,可以降低类似环境中的死亡率。然而,诸如死后定植、污染以及缺乏组织病理学确认等局限性,使得对病原体相关死亡率的解读需要谨慎。