Yan Jing, Li Fen, Zhou Jun, Ding Yuanyuan, Qin Qiujun, Jin Chunlin
Shanghai Health Development Research Center (Shanghai Medical Information Center), Shanghai, 200031, China.
School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200032, China.
Arch Osteoporos. 2025 Aug 6;20(1):111. doi: 10.1007/s11657-025-01596-3.
UNLABELLED: Fractures can result in decreased quality of life and care requirements, all of which significantly affect patients and their families. Our results revealed that the global incident, prevalent, and YLDs cases of fractures have risen in both sexes. Policies that prioritize avoiding fractures at different anatomical sites should be developed. BACKGROUND: Fractures are a major contributor of disease burden and are predicted to rise significantly in the years to come. The purpose of this study was to estimate the global burden of fractures and analyze the changes of etiologies of fractures between 1990 and 2021. METHODS: Based on the information collected from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021, this study analyzed both the number and age-standardized rate of incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability (YLD) of fractures between 1990 and 2021 by sex, age group, anatomical site, GBD region, SDI region, and country. We used estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) to calculate the trends of the age-standardized rate over the past 30 years. RESULTS: In 2021, the number of new cases of fractures was 172.79 million (95%UI 158.38-187.65), with 77.66 million (95%UI 70.53-85.15) cases in females and 95.12 million (95%UI 87.69-102.67) cases in males. The prevalent cases were 453.31 million (95%UI 421.17-486.12) globally. In addition, fractures caused 25.18 million (95%UI 17.28-34.62) YLDs among all ages in 2021, displaying an increasing trend with an EAPC of 1.1. However, there was a general decline in the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), and age-standardized years lived with disability rate (ASYR) of fractures from 1990 to 2021. The ASIR, ASPR, and ASYR of fracture in 2021 were 2172.52 cases (95%UI 1995.20-2364.46) per 100,000 population, 5397.67 cases 95%UI (5022.63, 5787.16) per 100,000 population, and 300.19 cases (95%UI 205.86-412.53) per 100,000 population. Compared with other countries and territories, New Zealand (6197.81 cases (5391.24-7068.78) per 100,000 population) had the highest ASIR of fractures in 2021, followed by the Republic of Slovenia (5996.53 cases (5367.82-6640.29) per 100,000 population) and Australia 5420.39 cases (4684.64-6301.56) per 100,000 population). Even while we observed that males had more incident, prevalent, and YLDs cases of fractures than females; and higher ASIR, ASPR, and ASYR, it may not apply to fractures at different anatomical sites, such as fracture of hip and fracture of radius and/or ulna. Furthermore, our study revealed that ASIR, ASPR, and ASYR for females were higher than males after the ages of 55-59, 85-89, and 70-74, although the ASPR and ASYR rose with age for both females and males. Falls were the leading ASYR level 3 cause of fractures worldwide, but with a downward trend; road injuries and exposure to mechanical forces were the second and third main causes of fractures. CONCLUSIONS: Given the rising tendency of incidence, prevalence, and YLDs cases over the past 30 years, bone fractures continue to be a major global burden. In addition, despite the downward trend in ASIR, ASPR, and ASYR of fractures in the high SDI region, it consistently ranked first among the five SDI regions. Increased awareness should be paid to women after the ages of 55 to 59 to lower the incidence rate of fractures. Anti-osteoporotic medication, improving lifestyle habits and multiple-component fall prevention strategies should be considered while making policy.
未标注:骨折会导致生活质量下降和护理需求增加,所有这些都会对患者及其家庭产生重大影响。我们的研究结果显示,全球骨折的发病、患病以及伤残损失生命年(YLD)病例在男女两性中均有所上升。应制定优先避免不同解剖部位骨折的政策。 背景:骨折是疾病负担的主要因素,预计在未来几年还会大幅上升。本研究的目的是估计全球骨折负担,并分析1990年至2021年间骨折病因的变化。 方法:基于从《2021年全球疾病负担》(GBD)收集的信息,本研究按性别、年龄组、解剖部位、GBD区域、社会人口指数(SDI)区域和国家,分析了1990年至2021年间骨折的发病数、年龄标准化发病率、患病率以及伤残损失生命年(YLD)。我们使用估计年度百分比变化(EAPC)来计算过去30年年龄标准化率的趋势。 结果:2021年,骨折新发病例数为1.7279亿(95%UI 1.5838 - 1.8765亿),其中女性7766万(95%UI 7053 - 8515万)例,男性9512万(95%UI 8769 - 1.0267亿)例。全球患病例数为4.5331亿(95%UI 4.2117 - 4.8612亿)。此外,2021年骨折在各年龄段导致2518万(95%UI 1728 - 3462万)伤残损失生命年,呈上升趋势,EAPC为1.1。然而,1990年至2021年期间,骨折的年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)、年龄标准化患病率(ASPR)和年龄标准化伤残损失生命年率(ASYR)总体呈下降趋势。2021年骨折的ASIR、ASPR和ASYR分别为每10万人口2172.52例(95%UI 1995.20 - 2364.46)、每10万人口5397.67例95%UI(5022.63,5787.16)和每10万人口300.19例(95%UI 205.86 - 412.53)。与其他国家和地区相比,2021年新西兰每10万人口骨折的ASIR最高(6197.81例(5391.24 - 7068.78)),其次是斯洛文尼亚共和国(每10万人口5996.53例(5367.82 - 6640.29))和澳大利亚(每10万人口5420.39例(4684.64 - 6301.56))。尽管我们观察到男性骨折的发病、患病和伤残损失生命年病例数多于女性,且ASIR、ASPR和ASYR更高,但这可能不适用于不同解剖部位的骨折,如髋部骨折和桡骨和/或尺骨骨折。此外,我们的研究表明,55 - 59岁、85 - 89岁和70 - 74岁之后,女性的ASIR、ASPR和ASYR高于男性,尽管男性和女性的ASPR和ASYR均随年龄增长而上升。跌倒在全球范围内是导致骨折的ASYR 3级主要原因,但呈下降趋势;道路伤害和暴露于机械力是骨折的第二和第三大主要原因。 结论:鉴于过去30年发病率、患病率和伤残损失生命年病例数呈上升趋势,骨折仍然是全球的主要负担。此外,尽管高SDI地区骨折的ASIR、ASPR和ASYR呈下降趋势,但在五个SDI地区中仍始终排名第一。应提高对55至59岁之后女性的关注,以降低骨折发病率。制定政策时应考虑抗骨质疏松药物、改善生活习惯和多成分跌倒预防策略。
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