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中国慢性肾脏病患者的死亡率:基于电子健康记录临床数据的12年队列研究

The mortality of chronic kidney disease in Chinese subjects: a 12-year cohort based on clinical data in electronic health record.

作者信息

Niu Qingyu, Hao Mei, Wang Mi, Sui Zhun, Zuo Li

机构信息

Department of Nephrology, Peking University People's Hospital, Beijing, China.

Department of Information, Peking University People's Hospital, Beijing, China.

出版信息

Ann Med. 2025 Dec;57(1):2540021. doi: 10.1080/07853890.2025.2540021. Epub 2025 Aug 6.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a global health problem with increasing prevalence. The objective of this study was to investigate the CKD mortality rate in a large cohort study based on electronic health record (EHR).

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort based on Hospital's EHR. The follow-up period was from January 2008 to December 2019. We used demographics, laboratory tests, comorbidities and mortality information to do the analysis. The mortality data was gained from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) database. Then the data was analyzed in the whole participants and subgroups.

RESULTS

82,684 CKD patients were identified in final cohort. Overall, there were 10,454 patients who died during the 12-year follow-up. The crude mortality rate was 12.6% (2.4 per 100 patient-years). In CKD stages 4-5, the mortality rate significantly increased (10.2 and 8.8 per 100 patient-years, respectively). The major causes of death including cardiovascular diseases, infections and cancer. In the advanced (stages 4-5) CKD, the proportion of deaths caused by cancer significantly decreased (15-26% to 9-10%), while the proportion of deaths caused by renal failure markedly increased (24% to 10-21%). In the death group, patients with younger baseline age have a higher proportion of reaching ESRD before death: among patients with baseline age ≤35 years, for example, the percentage who died with ESKD was 28.8%, and the percentage of died with ESKD in patients with baseline age >80 years was only 14.9%.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, among the 82,684 CKD patients, the mortality rate was 2.4 per 100 patient-years. For advanced CKD patients, the mortality rate was significantly increased. As CKD progressed, deaths caused by cancer significantly decreased, while death caused by renal failure remarkably increased. Meanwhile, there may be a competing risk of all-cause mortality and progression to ESKD.

摘要

背景

慢性肾脏病(CKD)是一个全球健康问题,其患病率不断上升。本研究的目的是在一项基于电子健康记录(EHR)的大型队列研究中调查CKD死亡率。

方法

这是一项基于医院EHR的回顾性队列研究。随访期为2008年1月至2019年12月。我们使用人口统计学、实验室检查、合并症和死亡率信息进行分析。死亡率数据来自中国疾病预防控制中心(CDC)数据库。然后在所有参与者和亚组中对数据进行分析。

结果

最终队列中确定了82684例CKD患者。总体而言,在12年的随访期间有10454例患者死亡。粗死亡率为12.6%(每100患者年2.4例)。在CKD 4-5期,死亡率显著上升(分别为每100患者年10.2例和8.8例)。主要死亡原因包括心血管疾病、感染和癌症。在晚期(4-5期)CKD中,癌症导致的死亡比例显著下降(从15%-26%降至9%-10%),而肾衰竭导致的死亡比例显著上升(从24%升至10%-21%)。在死亡组中,基线年龄较小的患者在死亡前达到终末期肾病(ESRD)的比例较高:例如,在基线年龄≤35岁的患者中,死于ESKD的比例为28.8%,而在基线年龄>80岁的患者中,死于ESKD的比例仅为14.9%。

结论

总之,在82684例CKD患者中,死亡率为每100患者年2.4例。对于晚期CKD患者,死亡率显著上升。随着CKD的进展,癌症导致的死亡显著减少,而肾衰竭导致的死亡显著增加。同时,可能存在全因死亡率和进展至ESRD的竞争风险。

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