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确定 CKD、卧床病史和癌症等更高危合并症,并分析其对住院奥密克戎患者预后的影响:一项多中心队列研究。

Identification of CKD, bedridden history and cancer as higher-risk comorbidities and their impact on prognosis of hospitalized Omicron patients: a multi-centre cohort study.

机构信息

Department of Infectious Diseases, Shanghai Jiao Tong University Affiliated Sixth People's Hospital, Shanghai, People's Republic of China.

Department of Infectious Diseases, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Infectious Diseases and Biosafety Emergency Response, Huashan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Emerg Microbes Infect. 2022 Dec;11(1):2501-2509. doi: 10.1080/22221751.2022.2122581.

Abstract

To further describe the effect of the "fragile population" and their "higher-risk" comorbidities on prognosis among hospitalized Omicron patients, this observational cohort study enrolled hospitalized patients confirmed with SARS-CoV-2 during the 2022 Omicron wave in Shanghai, China. The primary outcome was progression to severe or critical cases. The secondary outcome was viral shedding time from the first positive SARS-CoV-2 detection. A total of 847 participants were enrolled, most of whom featured as advanced age (>70 years old: 30.34%), not fully vaccinated (55.84%), combined with at least 1 comorbidity (65.41%). Multivariate cox regression suggested age >70 years old (aHR[95%CI] 0.78[0.61-0.99]), chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage 4-5 (aHR[95%CI] 0.61[0.46-0.80]), heart conditions (aHR[95%CI] 0.76[0.60-0.97]) would elongate viral shedding time and fully/booster vaccination (aHR[95%CI] 1.4 [1.14-1.72]) would shorten this duration. Multivariate logistic regression suggested CKD stage 4-5 (aHR[95%CI] 3.21[1.45-7.27]), cancer (aHR[95%CI] 9.52[4.19-22.61]), and long-term bedridden status (aHR[95%CI] 4.94[2.36-10.44]) were the "higher" risk factor compared with the elderly, heart conditions, metabolic disorders, isolated hypertension, etc. for severity while female (aHR[95%CI] 0.34[0.16-0.68]) and fully/booster Vaccination (aHR[95%CI] 0.35[0.12-0.87]) could provide protection from illness progression. CKD stage 4-5, cancer and long-term bedridden history were "higher-risk" factors among hospitalized Omicron patients for severity progression while full vaccination could provide protection from illness progression.

摘要

为了进一步描述“脆弱人群”及其“更高风险”合并症对住院奥密克戎患者预后的影响,本观察性队列研究纳入了 2022 年中国上海奥密克戎浪潮期间住院的经 SARS-CoV-2 确诊的患者。主要结局是进展为重症或危重症病例。次要结局是从首次 SARS-CoV-2 检测阳性到病毒脱落的时间。共纳入 847 名参与者,其中大多数为高龄(>70 岁:30.34%)、未完全接种疫苗(55.84%)、至少合并 1 种合并症(65.41%)。多变量 Cox 回归表明,年龄>70 岁(aHR[95%CI]0.78[0.61-0.99])、慢性肾脏病(CKD)4-5 期(aHR[95%CI]0.61[0.46-0.80])、心脏疾病(aHR[95%CI]0.76[0.60-0.97])会延长病毒脱落时间,而完全/加强疫苗接种(aHR[95%CI]1.4[1.14-1.72])会缩短这一时间。多变量逻辑回归表明,CKD 4-5 期(aHR[95%CI]3.21[1.45-7.27])、癌症(aHR[95%CI]9.52[4.19-22.61])和长期卧床状态(aHR[95%CI]4.94[2.36-10.44])与老年人、心脏疾病、代谢紊乱、孤立性高血压等相比是严重程度的“更高”危险因素,而女性(aHR[95%CI]0.34[0.16-0.68])和完全/加强疫苗接种(aHR[95%CI]0.35[0.12-0.87])可提供对疾病进展的保护。CKD 4-5 期、癌症和长期卧床史是住院奥密克戎患者严重程度进展的“更高风险”因素,而完全疫苗接种可提供对疾病进展的保护。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d69f/9621241/7fa8e526e864/TEMI_A_2122581_F0001_OC.jpg

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