Johnson Declan, Voorhis Jimmy, Porder Stephen
Department of Ecology, Evolutionary and Organismal Biology, Brown University, Providence, 02912, RI, USA.
, Boulder, Colorado, USA.
Carbon Balance Manag. 2025 Aug 8;20(1):26. doi: 10.1186/s13021-025-00309-0.
Climate change, fire suppression, and human encroachment contribute to increasingly intense forest fires in the Western United States, releasing hundreds of millions of metric tons (MMT) CO/year. Proactive fire-risk reduction treatments coordinated by the US Forest Service (USFS) typically include thinning and burning (or in situ decay) of thinned products and may require thinning on ~ 28 million hectares of public and private land over the next decade. Assuming thinning of only small (~ 30 cm diameter) trees within 0.8 km of existing roads on slopes gentler than a 40% grade, this will produce ~ 1,100 MMT of thinned wood, which, if burned or left to decay, will release ~ 2000 MMT CO. Here we evaluate the life cycle emissions of an alternative fate, burial in anoxic wood vaults. We performed a life cycle analysis (LCA) to assess potential net emissions reductions, considering site clearing, transport, site preparation and post-burial decay. We used Monte-Carlo simulations to estimate emissions uncertainty and identify key parameters influencing carbon removal efficiency.
We find wood vaults will decrease emissions relative to current practice by a mean of 66% if wood is transported 100 km, and by 38% at a transport distance of 500 km. If the USFS is able to implement the proposed Wildfire Crisis Strategy, and all of the wood from thinning were buried in wood vaults within 100–500 km of the thinning sites, our results suggest these vaults would thus sequester between ~ 40–140 MMT CO/yr over a decade. This annual figure represents ~ 6–12% of 2021 energy-related emissions in the contiguous Western United States. Harvesting thinned products only from gentler (< 20%) slopes within shorter distances from roads (304 m) would result in a greenhouse gas savings equivalent to 3–6% of 2021 Western State emissions. However, these results depend heavily on parameters related to wood decay and post-decay methane emissions that are relatively poorly constrained.
These results suggest wood vaults are a promising emissions-reduction strategy, but challenges remain. It is not clear that the USFS has the resources to manage the additional ~ 20 million hectares targeted for forest thinning. Biogeochemically, the importance of rates of wood decay within the vault, and the fraction of methane generated that escapes the vault, are poorly constrained parameters. Their estimation will be important for narrowing uncertainty in estimates of life cycle emissions. Nevertheless, our analysis suggests wood vaults are a promising, low-tech, ready-to-deploy emissions reduction strategy in places where forest management includes mechanical thinning and burning of wood waste residues. Wood vaults can be particularly impactful in locations that facilitate short transport distances and where biogeochemical conditions at the vault site minimize wood decay.
The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13021-025-00309-0.
气候变化、灭火措施以及人类活动的侵入导致美国西部森林火灾日益频繁,每年释放数亿吨二氧化碳。美国林务局(USFS)协调的主动降低火灾风险措施通常包括对疏伐木材进行间伐和焚烧(或原地腐烂),未来十年可能需要在约2800万公顷的公共和私人土地上进行间伐。假设仅对坡度小于40%且距离现有道路0.8公里范围内的小直径(约30厘米)树木进行间伐,这将产生约11亿吨间伐木材,如果将这些木材焚烧或任其腐烂,将释放约20亿吨二氧化碳。在此,我们评估了另一种处置方式——将木材埋入缺氧木材库中的生命周期排放量。我们进行了生命周期分析(LCA),以评估潜在的净减排量,同时考虑了场地清理、运输、场地准备和掩埋后腐烂等因素。我们使用蒙特卡洛模拟来估计排放不确定性,并确定影响碳去除效率的关键参数。
我们发现,如果木材运输距离为100公里,木材库相对于当前做法将平均减少66%的排放;运输距离为500公里时,排放量将减少38%。如果美国林务局能够实施拟议的野火危机战略,并且所有间伐木材都埋在距离间伐地点100 - 500公里范围内的木材库中,我们的结果表明,这些木材库在十年内每年可封存约40 - 14亿吨二氧化碳。这一年度数字约占2021年美国西部相邻地区能源相关排放量的6% - 12%。仅在距离道路较短(304米)的较平缓(<20%)坡度上采伐间伐木材,将实现相当于2021年美国西部各州排放量3% - 6%的温室气体减排。然而,这些结果在很大程度上取决于与木材腐烂和腐烂后甲烷排放相关的参数,而这些参数的约束相对较差。
这些结果表明,木材库是一种有前景的减排策略,但仍存在挑战。尚不清楚美国林务局是否有资源管理额外约2000万公顷计划进行森林间伐的土地。从生物地球化学角度来看,木材库内木材腐烂速率以及产生的甲烷逸出库外的比例等参数的重要性,目前约束较差。对这些参数的估计对于缩小生命周期排放估计的不确定性至关重要。尽管如此,我们的分析表明,在森林管理包括对木材废料进行机械间伐和焚烧的地区,木材库是一种有前景、低技术且易于实施的减排策略。在运输距离短且木材库场地的生物地球化学条件能使木材腐烂最小化的地点,木材库可能会产生特别显著的影响。
在线版本包含可在10.1186/s13021 - 025 - 00309 - 0获取的补充材料。