Su Yu-Te, Chen Sy-Jou, Lin Chin, Lin Chin-Sheng, Hu Hsiao-Feng
Department of Emergency Medicine, Tri-Service General Hospital, National Defense Medical University, Taipei 11490, Taiwan.
Graduate Institute of Injury Prevention and Control, College of Public Health and Nutrition, Taipei Medical University, New Taipei City 235, Taiwan.
Diagnostics (Basel). 2025 Jul 25;15(15):1874. doi: 10.3390/diagnostics15151874.
: Artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled electrocardiogram (ECG) analysis may assist in objective and reproducible risk stratification. However, the prognostic utility of serial ECGs, particularly the follow-up ECG prior to discharge, has not been extensively studied. This study aimed to evaluate whether dynamic changes in AI-predicted ECG risk scores could enhance prediction of post-discharge outcomes. : This retrospective cohort study included 11,508 ED visits from a single medical center where patients underwent two ECGs and were directly discharged. We stratified the mortality risk of patients as low risk, medium risk, and high risk based on the first and follow-up ECG prior to discharge using AI-enabled ECG models. The Area Under the Curve (AUC) was calculated for the predictive performance of the two ECGs. Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves were used for 90-day mortality analysis, and the Cox proportional hazards model was utilized to compare the risk of death across categories. : The AI-enabled ECG risk prediction model, based on the initial and follow-up ECGs prior to discharge, indicated risk transitions among different groups. The AUC for mortality risk was 78.6% for the first ECG and 83.3% for the follow-up ECG. KM curves revealed a significant increase in 90-day mortality for patients transitioning from low to medium/high risk upon discharge (Hazard Ratio: 6.01; Confidence Interval: 1.70-21.27). : AI-enabled ECGs obtained prior to discharge provide superior mortality risk stratification for ED patients compared to initial ECGs. Patients classified as medium- or high-risk at discharge require careful consideration, whereas those at low risk can generally be discharged safely. Although AI-ECG alone does not replace comprehensive risk assessment, it offers a practical tool to support clinical judgment, particularly in the dynamic ED environment, by aiding safer discharge decisions.
人工智能(AI)辅助的心电图(ECG)分析有助于进行客观且可重复的风险分层。然而,连续心电图的预后效用,尤其是出院前的随访心电图,尚未得到广泛研究。本研究旨在评估AI预测的心电图风险评分的动态变化是否能增强对出院后结局的预测。
这项回顾性队列研究纳入了来自单一医疗中心的11508次急诊就诊病例,这些患者接受了两次心电图检查并直接出院。我们使用AI辅助的心电图模型,根据出院前的首次和随访心电图将患者的死亡风险分为低风险、中风险和高风险。计算了两次心电图预测性能的曲线下面积(AUC)。采用Kaplan-Meier(KM)曲线进行90天死亡率分析,并使用Cox比例风险模型比较不同类别之间的死亡风险。
基于出院前的初始和随访心电图的AI辅助心电图风险预测模型显示了不同组之间的风险转变。首次心电图的死亡风险AUC为78.6%,随访心电图为83.3%。KM曲线显示,出院时从低风险转变为中/高风险的患者90天死亡率显著增加(风险比:(6.01);置信区间:(1.70 - 21.27))。
与初始心电图相比,出院前获得的AI辅助心电图为急诊患者提供了更好的死亡风险分层。出院时被归类为中风险或高风险的患者需要仔细考虑,而低风险患者通常可以安全出院。虽然单独的AI心电图不能取代全面的风险评估,但它提供了一个实用工具,通过辅助更安全的出院决策来支持临床判断,特别是在动态的急诊环境中。