Kim Myoung Jung, Song Sung-Hee, Park Young Jun, Lee Young-Hyun, Kim Jongwoo, Jeon JaeHu, Woo KyungChang, Kim Juwon, Kim Ju Youn, Park Seung-Jung, On Young Keun, Park Kyoung-Min
Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Heart Vascular Stroke Institute, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul 06351, Republic of Korea.
Wellysis Corp., Seoul 06133, Republic of Korea.
J Clin Med. 2025 Aug 6;14(15):5548. doi: 10.3390/jcm14155548.
: Chronological age (CA) is commonly used in clinical decision-making, yet it may not accurately reflect biological aging. Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) allow estimation of electrocardiogram (ECG)-derived heart age, which may serve as a non-invasive biomarker for physiological aging. This study aimed to develop and validate a deep learning model to predict ECG-heart age in individuals with no structural heart disease. : We trained a convolutional neural network (DenseNet-121) using 12-lead ECGs from 292,484 individuals (mean age: 51.4 ± 13.8 years; 42.3% male) without significant cardiac disease. Exclusion criteria included missing age data, age <18 or >90 years, and structural abnormalities. CA was used as the target variable. Model performance was evaluated using the coefficient of determination (R), Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC), mean absolute error (MAE), and root mean square error (RMSE). External validation was conducted using 1191 independent ECGs. : The model demonstrated strong predictive performance (R = 0.783, PCC = 0.885, MAE = 5.023 years, RMSE = 6.389 years). ECG-heart age tended to be overestimated in younger adults (≤30 years) and underestimated in older adults (≥70 years). External validation showed consistent performance (R = 0.703, PCC = 0.846, MAE = 5.582 years, RMSE = 7.316 years). : The proposed AI-based model accurately estimates ECG-heart age in individuals with structurally normal hearts. ECG-derived heart age may serve as a reliable biomarker of biological aging and support future risk stratification strategies.
实际年龄(CA)常用于临床决策,但它可能无法准确反映生物衰老情况。人工智能(AI)的最新进展使得通过心电图(ECG)估算心脏年龄成为可能,这可作为生理衰老的一种非侵入性生物标志物。本研究旨在开发并验证一种深度学习模型,以预测无结构性心脏病个体的心电图心脏年龄。
我们使用来自292484名无重大心脏病个体(平均年龄:51.4±13.8岁;42.3%为男性)的12导联心电图训练了一个卷积神经网络(DenseNet - 121)。排除标准包括年龄数据缺失、年龄<18岁或>90岁以及结构异常。实际年龄被用作目标变量。使用决定系数(R)、皮尔逊相关系数(PCC)、平均绝对误差(MAE)和均方根误差(RMSE)评估模型性能。使用1191份独立心电图进行外部验证。
该模型表现出强大的预测性能(R = 0.783,PCC = 0.885,MAE = 5.023岁,RMSE = 6.389岁)。年轻成年人(≤30岁)的心电图心脏年龄往往被高估,而老年人(≥70岁)则被低估。外部验证显示出一致的性能(R = 0.703,PCC = 0.846,MAE = 5.582岁,RMSE = 7.316岁)。
所提出的基于人工智能的模型能够准确估算结构正常心脏个体的心电图心脏年龄。通过心电图得出的心脏年龄可作为生物衰老的可靠生物标志物,并为未来的风险分层策略提供支持。