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耦合水质指数与多元统计方法用于中国河池市长寿地区关键参数识别及人类健康风险评估

Coupling WQI and multivariate statistical approaches for key parameter identification and human health risk assessment in the longevity region of Hechi City, China.

作者信息

Zhang Yanqing, Nong Xizhi, Zhu Huaxin, Wang Jian

机构信息

Power China Guiyang Engineering Corporation Limited, Guiyang 550000, China.

Guangxi Provincial Engineering Research Center of Water Security and Intelligent Control for Karst Region, Guangxi University, Nanning 530004, China E-mail:

出版信息

J Water Health. 2025 Aug;23(8):923-939. doi: 10.2166/wh.2025.041. Epub 2025 Jul 11.

DOI:10.2166/wh.2025.041
PMID:40878653
Abstract

This study addresses limitations in traditional water quality indices (WQIs) by developing a simplified yet accurate WQI model (WQI) that captures spatiotemporal dynamics and prioritizes health-risk drivers in ecologically sensitive regions. Monitored over 2021-2023 at 16 stations in Hechi City, China (a globally recognized longevity area), 17 water quality parameters were analyzed. Using multivariate statistics, WQI reduced parameters from 17 to 7 key drivers ( < 0.001) while maintaining 99.3% prediction accuracy. Results revealed excellent water quality (overall WQI = 95.10; station range: 93.22-96.44) meeting China's Class I standards. Heavy metal concentrations were in the following order: Zn > As > Cr > Cu > Se > Pb > Cd > Hg, with chromium (Cr) dominating health risks at 73.4% (adults) and 73.41% (children), followed by arsenic (As) at 26.47% (adults) and 26.46% (children). Despite compliance with surface water standards, trace contaminants like Cr and As posed disproportionate risks, highlighting the need for targeted monitoring in longevity regions. This innovative approach resolves conventional WQI aggregation issues, providing policymakers with a cost-effective tool to identify critical pollutants and optimize resource allocation for water protection.

摘要

本研究通过开发一种简化而准确的水质指数(WQI)模型来解决传统水质指数的局限性,该模型能够捕捉时空动态,并对生态敏感地区的健康风险驱动因素进行优先排序。在中国河池市(一个全球公认的长寿地区)的16个站点对2021 - 2023年期间进行监测,分析了17个水质参数。利用多元统计分析,WQI将参数从17个减少到7个关键驱动因素(<0.001),同时保持了99.3%的预测准确率。结果显示水质优良(总体WQI = 95.10;站点范围:93.22 - 96.44),符合中国一类标准。重金属浓度顺序为:锌>砷>铬>铜>硒>铅>镉>汞,其中铬(Cr)在成人健康风险中占主导地位,为73.4%,在儿童健康风险中占73.41%,其次是砷(As),在成人中占26.47%,在儿童中占26.46%。尽管符合地表水标准,但铬和砷等微量污染物带来了不成比例的风险,凸显了在长寿地区进行针对性监测的必要性。这种创新方法解决了传统WQI汇总问题,为政策制定者提供了一种经济高效的工具,以识别关键污染物并优化水资源保护的资源分配。

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