Bian Hupo, Qian Huiying, Zhu Shaoqi, Xue Jingnan, Qi Luying, Peng Xiuhua, Li Mei, Zheng Yifeng, Xu Pengliang, Zhao Hongxing, Jiang Jianping
Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Huzhou University, Huzhou, Zhejiang, People's Republic of China.
School of Medicine (School of Nursing), Huzhou University, Huzhou, Zhejiang, People's Republic of China.
Int J Chron Obstruct Pulmon Dis. 2025 Sep 2;20:3045-3057. doi: 10.2147/COPD.S539307. eCollection 2025.
This study aimed to develop and validate a deep learning radiomics (DLR) nomogram for individualized CHD risk assessment in the COPD population.
This retrospective study included 543 COPD patients from two different centers. Comprehensive clinical and imaging data were collected for all participants. In Center 1, 398 patients were randomly allocated into a training set and an internal validation set at a 7:3 ratio. An external test set was established using 145 patients from Center 2. Radiomics features were extracted from computed tomography (CT) images, and deep learning features were generated using ResNet50. By integrating traditional clinical data, radiomics features, and three-dimensional (3D) deep learning features, a combined predictive model was developed to estimate the risk of CHD in COPD patients.
Validation cohort AUCs revealed the nomogram's optimal predictive performance (Internal: 0.800; External: 0.761) compared to clinical (0.759, 0.661), radiomics (0.752, 0.666), and DLR (0.767, 0.732) models. This integrative approach demonstrated a 9.1% and 13.4% relative AUC improvement over clinical and radiomics models in external validation. DCA corroborated these findings, showing the nomogram provides the highest net benefit for clinical decision-making across probability thresholds in COPD patients at risk for CHD.
The nomogram model, which integrates clinical, radiomics, and deep learning features, exhibits promising performance in predicting CHD risk among COPD patients. It may offer valuable insights for early intervention and management strategies for CHD.
本研究旨在开发并验证一种深度学习放射组学(DLR)列线图,用于慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)人群的冠心病(CHD)个体化风险评估。
这项回顾性研究纳入了来自两个不同中心的543例COPD患者。收集了所有参与者的综合临床和影像数据。在中心1,398例患者按7:3的比例随机分为训练集和内部验证集。使用来自中心2的145例患者建立外部测试集。从计算机断层扫描(CT)图像中提取放射组学特征,并使用ResNet50生成深度学习特征。通过整合传统临床数据、放射组学特征和三维(3D)深度学习特征,开发了一种联合预测模型,以估计COPD患者患CHD的风险。
与临床模型(内部:0.759,外部:0.661)、放射组学模型(0.752,0.666)和DLR模型(0.767,0.732)相比,验证队列的曲线下面积(AUC)显示列线图具有最佳预测性能(内部:0.800;外部:0.761)。在外部验证中,这种综合方法相对于临床和放射组学模型的相对AUC分别提高了9.1%和13.4%。决策曲线分析(DCA)证实了这些结果,表明列线图为有CHD风险的COPD患者在不同概率阈值下的临床决策提供了最高的净效益。
整合临床、放射组学和深度学习特征的列线图模型在预测COPD患者的CHD风险方面表现出良好的性能。它可能为CHD的早期干预和管理策略提供有价值的见解。