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巴东市地震后疏散及物流中的失败风险。

Failure risk in post-earthquake evacuation and logistics in Padang City.

作者信息

Adji Bayu M, Istijono Bambang, Rahendra Muhazir, Koting Suhana, Hakam Abdul, Ophiyandri Taufika, Masrilayanti Masrilayanti, Yunanda Rezko

机构信息

Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Universitas Andalas, Padang, Indonesia.

Department of Natural Resources Management, Universitas Andalas, Padang, Indonesia.

出版信息

Jamba. 2025 Aug 15;17(1):1773. doi: 10.4102/jamba.v17i1.1773. eCollection 2025.

DOI:10.4102/jamba.v17i1.1773
PMID:40937356
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12421527/
Abstract

UNLABELLED

This study examines the challenges and risks in managing evacuations and distribution logistics after tsunamis triggered by earthquakes, focusing on Padang City. Key issues include inadequate evacuation routes, delayed information dissemination and inefficient logistical coordination, compounded by the city's topography. Data were collected from 20 key informants, structured interviews and questionnaires involving stakeholders with direct operational experience in disaster response, such as the Regional Disaster Management Agency, the Transportation Office and the Social Affairs Office. The failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA) method identified and prioritised potential failure modes based on risk priority number (RPN) values. The analysis revealed that the most critical risks in evacuation include damaged evacuation routes, lack of public knowledge about safe routes and heavy traffic congestion. The most significant dangers for logistics were post-earthquake telephone network disruptions, long delivery times and vehicle capacity limitations. These risks were found to hinder practical response efforts significantly. The study recommends targeted mitigation strategies such as strengthening communication systems, improving evacuation route infrastructure and increasing preparedness among communities and authorities. These findings offer practical insights to enhance disaster risk reduction and emergency logistics planning in coastal cities vulnerable to tsunamis.

CONTRIBUTION

Research addresses critical gaps in tsunami evacuation and logistics management by analysing risks using FMEA techniques. The study highlights gaps in infrastructure, social dynamics and policies on urban resilience and disaster risk reduction. By emphasising practical strategies to mitigate key risks such as communication breakdowns and logistics coordination, the study provides actionable insights to improve disaster preparedness and response.

摘要

未标注

本研究考察了地震引发海啸后巴东市在管理疏散和配送物流方面面临的挑战与风险。关键问题包括疏散路线不足、信息传播延迟以及后勤协调效率低下,而该市的地形又加剧了这些问题。数据收集自20名关键信息提供者,通过对区域灾害管理机构、交通办公室和社会事务办公室等在灾害应对方面有直接操作经验的利益相关者进行结构化访谈和问卷调查获得。失效模式与效应分析(FMEA)方法根据风险优先数(RPN)值识别并确定了潜在失效模式的优先级。分析表明,疏散中最关键的风险包括疏散路线受损、公众对安全路线缺乏了解以及严重的交通拥堵。物流方面最重大的危险是地震后电话网络中断、交付时间长和车辆运力限制。这些风险被发现严重阻碍了实际应对工作。该研究建议采取有针对性的缓解策略,如加强通信系统、改善疏散路线基础设施以及提高社区和当局的准备程度。这些发现为加强易受海啸影响的沿海城市的灾害风险降低和应急物流规划提供了实际见解。

贡献

本研究通过使用FMEA技术分析风险,解决了海啸疏散和物流管理中的关键差距。该研究突出了城市韧性和灾害风险降低在基础设施、社会动态和政策方面的差距。通过强调缓解通信故障和物流协调等关键风险的实际策略,该研究提供了可采取行动的见解,以改善灾害准备和应对工作。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/39ca/12421527/2dc63b93e3ae/JAMBA-17-1773-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/39ca/12421527/82702dcba7e8/JAMBA-17-1773-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/39ca/12421527/6b9a4336bf58/JAMBA-17-1773-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/39ca/12421527/6cdcaed134e8/JAMBA-17-1773-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/39ca/12421527/98963eb6d9da/JAMBA-17-1773-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/39ca/12421527/2dc63b93e3ae/JAMBA-17-1773-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/39ca/12421527/82702dcba7e8/JAMBA-17-1773-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/39ca/12421527/6b9a4336bf58/JAMBA-17-1773-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/39ca/12421527/6cdcaed134e8/JAMBA-17-1773-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/39ca/12421527/98963eb6d9da/JAMBA-17-1773-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/39ca/12421527/2dc63b93e3ae/JAMBA-17-1773-g005.jpg

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Adaptive capacity to reduce disaster risks in informal settlements.非正规住区降低灾害风险的适应能力。
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Opportunities and challenges of mainstreaming disaster risk management in faith institutions.宗教机构将灾害风险管理纳入主流的机遇与挑战。
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