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了解荷兰16至25岁青少年的暴力激进化和阴谋论信念:一项潜在剖面分析。

Understanding Violent Radicalization and Conspiracy Belief in Dutch Youth Aged 16-25: A Latent Profile Analysis.

作者信息

den Elzen Jessica I, Asscher Jessica J, Lang Kyle M, Duindam Hanne M

机构信息

Department of Clinical Child and Family Studies, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands.

Department of Methodology and Statistics, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands.

出版信息

J Youth Adolesc. 2025 Sep 17. doi: 10.1007/s10964-025-02250-4.

DOI:10.1007/s10964-025-02250-4
PMID:40960705
Abstract

Violent radicalization linked to conspiracy belief has gained increasing attention over the last few years, yet little is known about these dynamics in youth. In this study, a latent profile analysis was conducted to better understand violent radicalization in the context of conspiracy belief among youth aged 16-25. Participants were 2297 Dutch adolescents and emerging adults (Mage = 19.55, SDage = 2.75; 63.3% female). Six profiles were identified, varying in levels of violent radicalization and conspiracy belief. While the largest profile indicated low levels of both, two smaller profiles showed heightened violent radicalization, with differing conspiracy belief. Heightened radicalization profiles were generally younger, male, and more politically extreme, whereas vocational education was more prevalent in high conspiracy profiles. Overall, the findings highlight different manifestations of violent radicalization and conspiracy belief in middle to late adolescence and emerging adulthood and the importance of considering individual and broader contextual conditions.

摘要

在过去几年中,与阴谋论相关的暴力激进化问题日益受到关注,但对于年轻人中的这些动态情况却知之甚少。在本研究中,我们进行了一项潜在类别分析,以更好地理解16至25岁年轻人在阴谋论背景下的暴力激进化情况。参与者为2297名荷兰青少年和刚成年的年轻人(年龄中位数Mage = 19.55,标准差SDage = 2.75;63.3%为女性)。我们识别出了六种类别,在暴力激进化程度和阴谋论信仰方面各有不同。虽然最大的类别显示两者程度都较低,但有两个较小的类别表现出更高的暴力激进化程度,且阴谋论信仰有所不同。激进化程度较高的类别通常更年轻、为男性且政治立场更极端,而在阴谋论信仰程度高的类别中,接受职业教育的情况更为普遍。总体而言,研究结果凸显了暴力激进化和阴谋论信仰在青少年中后期及刚成年阶段的不同表现形式,以及考虑个体和更广泛背景条件的重要性。

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本文引用的文献

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J Youth Adolesc. 2024 Sep;53(9):1953-1970. doi: 10.1007/s10964-024-01988-7. Epub 2024 May 3.
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