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2008 - 2018年中国老年健康影响因素跟踪调查:中国老年人的热暴露与自评健康——慢性病和代际支持的中介作用

Heat exposure and self-rated health in older Chinese adults: the mediating roles of chronic disease and intergenerational support, 2008-2018 CLHLS.

作者信息

Wang Huan, Wang Danyang

机构信息

Institute of Population Research, Hohai University, Nanjing, China.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2025 Sep 25;13:1636724. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2025.1636724. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Under the dual pressures of global warming and accelerated population aging, rising temperatures pose a particularly serious threat to the older population. However, systematic evidence on the heat exposure-response pathway is still scarce. This study aims to explore the effects of heat exposure on self-rated health and its pathways in older adults in China. We predicted that heat exposure would reduce the self-rated health of older adults, and that chronic diseases and intergenerational support would mediate this effect.

METHODS

We linked health data from 9,670 participants in the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey (CLHLS, 2008-2018 waves) with meteorological records from the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC). Individual fixed-effects models were employed to disentangle acute versus cumulative thermal effects, while Bootstrap-mediated path analysis quantified the mediating mechanisms involving chronic disease proliferation and deterioration of intergenerational support.

RESULTS

Heat exposure has a time effect on the health risk of older adults, and long-term heat exposure ( = -0.156, < 0.01; = -0.003, < 0.01) significantly reduces self-rated health through the cumulative effect of health disadvantages than short-term exposure ( = 0.004, < 0.1; = -0.001, > 0.1). The increase in the number of chronic diseases ( = 0.260, < 0.05) and the weakening of children's intergenerational support ( = -0.052, < 0.01; = -0.023, < 0.01) constitute a mediating pathway at individual and household level separately.

CONCLUSION

We found that chronic diseases and intergenerational support from children mediated the effect of heat exposure on the deterioration of self-rated health in older adults. Empirical evidence substantiates the necessity for a tiered intervention framework encompassing: individual-level chronic disease co-management protocols; household-driven initiatives to reinforce intergenerational support. This stratified approach alleviates bioclimatic risks through coordinated physiological adaptation and optimization of kinship network.

摘要

背景

在全球变暖和人口老龄化加速的双重压力下,气温上升对老年人群体构成了尤为严重的威胁。然而,关于热暴露-反应途径的系统性证据仍然匮乏。本研究旨在探讨热暴露对中国老年人自评健康状况及其途径的影响。我们预测,热暴露会降低老年人的自评健康状况,且慢性病和代际支持会介导这一效应。

方法

我们将中国老年健康影响因素跟踪调查(CLHLS,2008 - 2018年各轮次)中9670名参与者的健康数据与国家气候数据中心(NCDC)的气象记录相链接。采用个体固定效应模型来区分急性与累积热效应,同时通过Bootstrap中介路径分析量化涉及慢性病增加和代际支持减弱的中介机制。

结果

热暴露对老年人的健康风险具有时间效应,长期热暴露(β = -0.156,p < 0.01;γ = -0.003,p < 0.01)通过健康劣势的累积效应对自评健康的降低幅度显著大于短期暴露(β = 0.004,p < 0.1;γ = -0.001,p > 0.1)。慢性病数量的增加(β = 0.260,p < 0.05)以及子女代际支持的减弱(β = -0.052,p < 0.01;γ = -0.023,p < 0.01)分别在个体和家庭层面构成了一条中介途径。

结论

我们发现慢性病和来自子女的代际支持介导了热暴露对老年人自评健康状况恶化的影响。实证证据证实了建立一个分层干预框架的必要性,该框架包括:个体层面的慢性病共同管理方案;家庭驱动的加强代际支持的举措。这种分层方法通过协调生理适应和优化亲属网络来减轻生物气候风险。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0025/12507916/ae0d1ff15037/fpubh-13-1636724-g001.jpg

本文引用的文献

1
Escalating heatwave exposure of the elderly across China.中国各地老年人面临的热浪暴露情况不断加剧。
Environ Res. 2025 Oct 1;282:121986. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2025.121986. Epub 2025 May 27.
6
Global projections of heat exposure of older adults.全球老年人热暴露预测。
Nat Commun. 2024 May 14;15(1):3678. doi: 10.1038/s41467-024-47197-5.

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