Morrison I, Olsen J
Obstet Gynecol. 1979 Mar;53(3):362-6.
A simplified, numerical form for antepartum risk scoring was introduced as a component of the prenatal record for use in all pregancies in a large geographic area under a variety of collection practices. In a population of approximately 1,000,000 with 16,733 deliveries, 19% of the pregnant population scored greater than or equal to 3 and were designated as high risk on the basis of previous pilot studies. This group with high-risk scores had a perinatal mortality rate of 69/1000 compared to the low-risk group with a perinatal mortality of 7/1000 (P = less than 0.0001). The high-risk group accounted for almost 70% of the total perinatal deaths. The implications of being able to predict the statistical likelihood of perinatal deaths are discussed. It is suggested that the risk scoring system has its greatest potential as a screening process and as a method of recording regional statistical trends rather than in dictating the final management of the pregnancy.
一种简化的产前风险评分数字形式被引入,作为产前记录的一部分,用于在各种收集方式下的一个大地理区域内的所有妊娠。在一个约有100万人口、16733例分娩的人群中,根据先前的试点研究,19%的孕妇得分大于或等于3,并被指定为高危人群。这个高危评分组的围产期死亡率为69‰,而低危组的围产期死亡率为7‰(P<0.0001)。高危组几乎占围产期死亡总数的70%。文中讨论了能够预测围产期死亡统计可能性的意义。建议风险评分系统作为一种筛查过程和记录区域统计趋势的方法,其潜力最大,而不是用于决定妊娠的最终管理。