Jennett B, Teasdale G, Braakman R, Minderhoud J, Heiden J, Kurze T
Neurosurgery. 1979 Apr;4(4):283-9. doi: 10.1227/00006123-197904000-00001.
The relationship between clinical features of brain dysfunction in the first week after severe head injury and outcome 6 months later has been analyzed for 1000 patients. Depth of coma, pupil reaction, eye movements, and motor response pattern, and patient age prove to be the most reliable predictors. The degree of brain dysfunction changes markedly soon after injury, and more reliable predictions of outcome result when assessment is based on the best level of functioning recorded in each early epoch. Predictions based on very early assessment are, therefore, often unduly pessimistic. Individual predictions of outcome, based on a large data bank, provide a powerful tool for assessing the relative efficacy of alternative treatments.
对1000例患者分析了重度颅脑损伤后第一周脑功能障碍的临床特征与6个月后预后的关系。昏迷深度、瞳孔反应、眼球运动、运动反应模式以及患者年龄被证明是最可靠的预测指标。脑功能障碍程度在受伤后很快会显著变化,当基于每个早期阶段记录的最佳功能水平进行评估时,对预后的预测更可靠。因此,基于非常早期评估的预测往往过于悲观。基于大型数据库的个体预后预测为评估替代治疗的相对疗效提供了有力工具。