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乳腺癌患者的并发死亡率。对瑞典癌症登记处3857例病例的调查。

Intercurrent mortality of breast carcinoma patients. An investigation of 3857 cases from the Swedish Cancer Register.

作者信息

Rutqvist L E

出版信息

Acta Radiol Oncol. 1984;23(5):337-43. doi: 10.3109/02841868409136030.

Abstract

The pattern of intercurrent mortality was studied in 3857 cases of breast carcinoma diagnosed in Stockholm county during 1961-1963 and 1971-1973. The investigation was based on the recorded underlying and contributory causes of death in the Swedish Register of Causes of Death. The observed number of deaths due to various main disease groups was compared with the expected number calculated for an age-matched general population. A 21 per cent increase of intercurrent deaths was observed (95% confidence limits: 13-29%, p less than 0.001). Excess risks were found due to circulatory diseases, other tumours, 'accidents, suicides and injuries' and infectious diseases. The excess risk increased with time during follow-up and in the period 10 to 21 years it was 35 per cent (17-55%, p less than 0.001). These findings could be interpreted as an association between breast carcinoma and other diseases but might also to some extent have been caused by diagnostic errors or errors in the ascertainment of underlying versus contributory causes of death. It is concluded, however, that such possible errors are probably not a major source of bias in judging the mortality trend for the disease during the period encompassed by the investigation. This conclusion was based on the circumstance that the observed excess risks were of equal magnitude during the first ten years of follow-up in both the 1961-1963 and 1971-1973 series.

摘要

对1961年至1963年以及1971年至1973年期间在斯德哥尔摩县诊断出的3857例乳腺癌患者的并发死亡率模式进行了研究。该调查基于瑞典死亡原因登记册中记录的潜在死因和促成死因。将各种主要疾病组的观察死亡人数与为年龄匹配的普通人群计算的预期死亡人数进行了比较。观察到并发死亡人数增加了21%(95%置信区间:13%-29%,p<0.001)。发现循环系统疾病、其他肿瘤、“事故、自杀和伤害”以及传染病导致了额外风险。在随访期间,额外风险随时间增加,在10至21年期间为35%(17%-55%,p<0.001)。这些发现可以解释为乳腺癌与其他疾病之间的关联,但在一定程度上也可能是由诊断错误或潜在死因与促成死因确定中的错误导致的。然而,得出的结论是,在判断调查所涵盖期间该疾病的死亡率趋势时,此类可能的错误可能不是偏差的主要来源。这一结论基于以下情况:在1961年至1963年和1971年至1973年系列的随访的前十年中,观察到的额外风险幅度相同。

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