Pihl E, Hughes E S, McDermott F T, Milne B J, Korner J M, Price A B
Cancer. 1980 Jun 1;45(11):2902-7. doi: 10.1002/1097-0142(19800601)45:11<2902::aid-cncr2820451133>3.0.co;2-9.
The long-term cancer specific survival based on individual follow-up and analysis of prospectively collected data from 1061 patients undergoing resection for carcinoma of the rectum is presented. All patients were operated on and managed by one surgeon. Survival data for 978 cases were analyzed according to the methods of Kaplan and Meier, and Gehan. Results have been presented as cancer specific survival times in months and as percentage survivor rates at five-year intervals. The median overall cancer specific survival time was 96 months. Five, ten, 15, and 20-year survival rates were 56, 49, 47, and 46%, respectively. After a potentially curative resection of the tumor, the corresponding percentages were 69, 60, 57, and 56%. Age and sex were not significant prognostic factors. A death rate from recurrent cancer of nil was seen after 15.4 years. At this point, the cancer specific survival rates were 77% for patients in Stage A, 59% in Stage B, 37% in Stage C, and 9% for patients with tumors invading adjacent organs (D1), while no patient with macroscopic metastases to distant organs (Stage D2) survived beyond four and a half years (median, 11 months).
本文呈现了基于对1061例行直肠癌切除术患者的个体随访及前瞻性收集数据分析得出的长期癌症特异性生存率。所有患者均由同一外科医生进行手术及管理。采用Kaplan-Meier法和Gehan法对978例患者的生存数据进行分析。结果以月为单位呈现癌症特异性生存时间,并按五年间隔呈现生存率百分比。总体癌症特异性生存时间的中位数为96个月。5年、10年、15年和20年生存率分别为56%、49%、47%和46%。肿瘤进行潜在根治性切除术后,相应百分比分别为69%、60%、57%和56%。年龄和性别并非显著的预后因素。15.4年后复发性癌症死亡率为零。此时,A期患者的癌症特异性生存率为77%,B期为59%,C期为37%,肿瘤侵犯相邻器官(D1期)患者为9%,而无远处器官宏观转移(D2期)患者的生存期超过4.5年(中位数为11个月)。