Moisescu V, Popescu M, Sirbu M
Rev Ig Bacteriol Virusol Parazitol Epidemiol Pneumoftiziol Pneumoftiziol. 1980 Jan-Mar;29(1):15-24.
Two indicators are of primary importance in the assessing the tuberculous endemia in a determined area: the prevalence of bacilliferic sources, especially of those that have been confirmed by bacteriological examinations (bacterioscopy), and the annual incidence of the tuberculous infection (the real infection risk). Possibilities are described, and examples provided, for approximation of the incidence of the tuberculous infection through: a) conversion index; b) the ratio between the prevalence of the tuberculous infection and the median tested age; c) the Styble-Meijer-Sutherland logarithmic ecuation; d) the nomogram variant with tables B and C established by Styblo-Meijer-Sutherland; e) the R. Narain graphic methods. For those countries in which BCG vaccination is practiced on an extensive scale the authors suggest the incidence risk indice could also be calculated, for supra-infection, which can be correlated and completed by the incidence (risk) of infection.
在评估特定地区的结核性菌血症时,有两个指标至关重要:带菌源的流行情况,尤其是那些经细菌学检查(细菌镜检)确诊的带菌源,以及结核感染的年发病率(实际感染风险)。文中描述了通过以下方法估算结核感染发病率的可能性并提供了示例:a)转换指数;b)结核感染流行率与受试年龄中位数之比;c)Styble-Meijer-Sutherland对数方程;d)由Styblo-Meijer-Sutherland建立的包含表格B和C的列线图变体;e)R. Narain图形法。对于广泛开展卡介苗接种的国家,作者建议也可计算超感染的发病风险指数,它可与感染发病率(风险)相关联并补充完善。