Platt S, Kreitman N
Br Med J (Clin Res Ed). 1984 Oct 20;289(6451):1029-32. doi: 10.1136/bmj.289.6451.1029.
Between 1968 and 1982 annual unemployment and annual incidence of parasuicide among men in Edinburgh were positively and highly significantly correlated (r = 0.77). Similarly, they were found to be correlated across the city wards in 1971 (r = 0.76) and, even more strongly, 1981 (r = 0.95). Throughout the period the incidence of parasuicide among the unemployed was nearly always more than 10 times higher than among the employed. Men unemployed for more than a year were at much higher risk than those out of work for shorter periods. These findings were considered to be consistent with the view that unemployment, especially if long term, increases the incidence of parasuicide. The official prediction of an increase in long term unemployment has important implications.
1968年至1982年间,爱丁堡男性的年失业率与年自杀未遂发生率呈正相关,且相关性高度显著(r = 0.77)。同样,1971年在全市各选区也发现两者存在相关性(r = 0.76),而在1981年相关性更强(r = 0.95)。在整个时期,失业者中自杀未遂的发生率几乎总是比就业者高出10倍以上。失业超过一年的男性比失业时间较短的男性面临的风险要高得多。这些发现被认为与以下观点一致,即失业,尤其是长期失业,会增加自杀未遂的发生率。官方对长期失业率上升的预测具有重要意义。