Carstairs V, Cole S
Br Med J (Clin Res Ed). 1984 Nov 3;289(6453):1182-4. doi: 10.1136/bmj.289.6453.1182.
Data obtained from routine sources showed that from 1971 to 1982 the birth prevalences of spina bifida and anencephaly in Scotland fell. When known terminations after routine alpha fetoprotein screening were added to total births the adjusted birth prevalence could be calculated. In 1974-82 this fell by 40% for spina bifida (3 X 0-1 X 8) and 36% for anencephaly (2 X 2-1 X 4). These findings were compared with data on birth prevalences in England and Wales, Northern Ireland, and Glasgow. The fall in birth prevalences of spina bifida and anencephaly over the past decade appears to have been due both to a true fall in incidence as well as to increased screening and termination for these conditions.
从常规来源获得的数据显示,1971年至1982年期间,苏格兰脊柱裂和无脑儿的出生患病率有所下降。当将常规甲胎蛋白筛查后已知的终止妊娠数加到总出生数中时,就可以计算出调整后的出生患病率。1974年至1982年期间,脊柱裂的调整后出生患病率下降了40%(3×0 - 1×8),无脑儿下降了36%(2×2 - 1×4)。这些研究结果与英格兰和威尔士、北爱尔兰以及格拉斯哥的出生患病率数据进行了比较。过去十年中脊柱裂和无脑儿出生患病率的下降似乎是由于发病率的真正下降以及针对这些病症的筛查和终止妊娠的增加。