Tamashiro H, Akagi H, Arakaki M, Futatsuka M, Roht L H
Int Arch Occup Environ Health. 1984;54(2):135-46. doi: 10.1007/BF00378516.
The causes of death in Minamata disease were analyzed and compared with those of control subjects. Of the 1422 Minamata disease patients in the Kumamoto Prefecture, 378 had died by the end of 1980. Of these 378, the first death occurred in 1954 with a peak incidence in 1956 when Minamata disease was officially reported for the first time. The number of deaths increased rapidly after 1972 with a second peak in 1976. The male:female ratio was 1.8:1 and the mean age-at-death was 67.2 years (SD = +/- 18.65). The mean age-at-death was younger in the cases of the initial outbreak than in those recently. There were, on the average, 2.8 causes of death per person. Of these cases, 157 (41.5%) had Minamata disease indicated on the death certificate, though 64 (16.9%) had Minamata disease coded as the underlying cause. Minamata disease and the noninflammatory diseases of the central nervous system (CNS) were the main underlying causes of death between 1954 and 1969, while, in the multiple cause data, pneumonia and non-ischemic heart disease were the most prevalent. Cerebrovascular diseases (18.0%) were the main underlying causes of death followed by malignant neoplasms (14.7%), cardiovascular diseases (14.1%) and Minamata disease (14.1%) in 1970 or later, while cardiovascular diseases (18.6%), Minamata disease (14.5%), cerebrovascular diseases (10.4%) and malignant neoplasms (7.1%) were the major multiple causes of death. As compared with the control, the proportions of deaths due to noninflammatory diseases of CNS and pneumonia were higher in the initial outbreak. Although the difference in the causes of death was less apparent recently, malignant neoplasms and hypertensive diseases tended to be lower. These results suggest that there is a need for a long-term follow-up of Minamata disease patients. The data also show the potential value of multiple causes of death coding in analyses of mortality.
对水俣病患者的死因进行了分析,并与对照组进行了比较。在熊本县的1422名水俣病患者中,到1980年底有378人死亡。在这378人中,首例死亡发生在1954年,1956年发病率达到峰值,当时水俣病首次得到官方报告。1972年之后死亡人数迅速增加,1976年出现第二个峰值。男女比例为1.8:1,平均死亡年龄为67.2岁(标准差=±18.65)。初次爆发病例的平均死亡年龄比近期病例的要小。每人平均有2.8种死因。在这些病例中,157例(41.5%)的死亡证明上注明患有水俣病,不过64例(16.9%)将水俣病列为根本死因。1954年至1969年期间,水俣病和中枢神经系统非炎性疾病是主要的根本死因,而在多死因数据中,肺炎和非缺血性心脏病最为常见。1970年及以后,脑血管疾病(18.0%)是主要的根本死因,其次是恶性肿瘤(14.7%)、心血管疾病(14.1%)和水俣病(14.1%),而心血管疾病(18.6%)、水俣病(14.5%)、脑血管疾病(10.4%)和恶性肿瘤(7.1%)是主要的多死因。与对照组相比,初次爆发时中枢神经系统非炎性疾病和肺炎导致的死亡比例较高。尽管近期死因差异不太明显,但恶性肿瘤和高血压疾病的比例往往较低。这些结果表明有必要对水俣病患者进行长期随访。数据还显示了多死因编码在死亡率分析中的潜在价值。