Orr L D
Am J Public Health. 1984 Dec;74(12):1384-9. doi: 10.2105/ajph.74.12.1384.
In a paper published in the August 1981 issue of this Journal, Leon Robertson attempts to measure the effects of the vehicle safety and occupant protection standards implemented in the 1960s. Data from the Fatal Accident Reporting System are used. Additional statistical analysis with these data reveals a multicollinearity problem that makes the prediction of the effects of regulation uncertain. There is also bias in regression results due to the inappropriate inclusion of truck data in the regressions. Regressions on the car data reveal a lifesaving effect of regulation that, at best, is one-fourth the value reported by Robertson.
在1981年8月出版的本期刊上发表的一篇论文中,利昂·罗伯逊试图衡量20世纪60年代实施的车辆安全和乘客保护标准的效果。使用了来自致命事故报告系统的数据。对这些数据进行的额外统计分析揭示了一个多重共线性问题,这使得对监管效果的预测变得不确定。由于在回归中不恰当地纳入了卡车数据,回归结果也存在偏差。对汽车数据的回归显示,监管的救生效果充其量只是罗伯逊报告值的四分之一。