Salmon D
Rev Fr Transfus Immunohematol. 1978 Feb;21(1):239-48. doi: 10.1016/s0338-4535(78)80045-2.
Two different indices are of interest in paternity diagnosis. 1. The proportion of men whose paternity is excluded by mother and child phenotypes. 2. The posterior probability of paternity, obtained by a bayesian process from the phenotypes of putative father, mother and child. These two indices are different, and it is proposed that the first one be used for gauging the value of the second. Two examples of the method are given: first, a sample of 48 putative father-mother-child trios, observed in the probability of paternity versus proportion of excluded men plane at different steps on the laboratory examinations, second, the figure obtained for a child for whom two putative fathers were at examination.
在亲子鉴定中有两个不同的指标值得关注。1. 因母亲和孩子的表型而被排除父权的男性比例。2. 父权的后验概率,通过贝叶斯过程从推定父亲、母亲和孩子的表型中获得。这两个指标是不同的,建议用第一个指标来衡量第二个指标的价值。给出了该方法的两个例子:第一,在实验室检查的不同阶段,在父权概率与被排除男性比例的平面上观察到的48个推定父亲-母亲-孩子三联体样本;第二,对一个有两个推定父亲接受检查的孩子所得到的数据。