Rosenberg L, Schwingl P J, Kaufman D W, Miller D R, Helmrich S P, Stolley P D, Schottenfeld D, Shapiro S
N Engl J Med. 1984 Jan 12;310(2):92-4. doi: 10.1056/NEJM198401123100205.
It has been suggested that cigarette smoking may reduce the incidence of breast cancer, perhaps by as much as 20 per cent. To evaluate the relation between breast-cancer risk and smoking, we studied 2160 women with breast cancer and 717 controls who had been admitted to the hospital for cancer of the ovary, cancer of the colon or rectum, malignant melanoma, or lymphoreticular cancers. As compared with women who had never smoked, the estimated relative risk of breast cancer was 1.1 for current smokers of any amount (95 per cent confidence interval, 0.9 to 1.3), and 1.0 (0.8 to 1.3) for heavy smokers (15 or more cigarettes per day). Allowance for all identified potential confounding factors did not materially alter the results. There was no indication that age at commencement of smoking was related to the risk, nor was there evidence of an effect of smoking within the categories of age at first pregnancy or age at menopause. The data provide evidence against the hypothesis that smoking may reduce the incidence of breast cancer by 20 per cent.
有人提出,吸烟可能会降低乳腺癌的发病率,降幅也许高达20%。为了评估患乳腺癌风险与吸烟之间的关系,我们对2160名乳腺癌女性患者以及717名对照者进行了研究,这些对照者因卵巢癌、结肠癌或直肠癌、恶性黑色素瘤或淋巴网状系统癌症而入院治疗。与从不吸烟的女性相比,目前任何吸烟量的女性患乳腺癌的估计相对风险为1.1(95%置信区间为0.9至1.3),重度吸烟者(每天吸15支或更多香烟)的相对风险为1.0(0.8至1.3)。对所有已识别的潜在混杂因素进行校正后,结果没有实质性改变。没有迹象表明开始吸烟的年龄与风险有关,也没有证据表明吸烟对首次怀孕年龄或绝经年龄分组内的风险有影响。这些数据为吸烟可使乳腺癌发病率降低20%这一假说提供了反证。